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05.11.2026 20:00
Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Referee: Giorgi Kruashvili

Sturm Graz vs Celje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
80.4%
1.14 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.57 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.6%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sturm Graz Win 53.4%
Draw 27%
Celje Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz1.72
Celje1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
D L D W W
12 GF / 7 GA
Celje Celje
W D D D L
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
17
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
12
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 matches
Celje Celje 28 matches
Sturm Graz Statistic Celje
15 Wins 9
9 Draws 11
7 Losses 8
64 Goals For 39
41 Goals Against 34
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
17 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 12
14 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.44
15.56 Total Shots 9.56
5.83 Corners 4.22
45.1% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1 / Celje 4-3-3
Missing players: Sturm Graz 10, Celje 6

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
W D W
7 3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
D W W
8 3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
D W W
9 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
D W W
10 3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
W W L
11 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
L W W
12 3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
L W W
13 3 1 2 0 4:3 1 5
D W D
14 3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
W D L
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
16 3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
L D W
17 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
18 3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
L W D
19 3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
W L D
20 3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
W D L
21 3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
D L W
22 3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
W L L
26 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
L L W
27 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
L W L
28 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
L L W
29
Celje Away
3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
D L L
30 3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
L L D
31 3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
L D L
32 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
D L L
33 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
34 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)