NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Marienlyst Stadion
Referee: M. Tennoy
Stromsgodset
Match Timeline
ODD Ballklubb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Mehnert · Assist: F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
Stromsgodset
🟨
30'
D. Soderberg
ODD Ballklubb
🟨
34'
K. Krasniqi
Stromsgodset
42'
F. Jorgensen · Assist: S. Bojadzic
ODD Ballklubb
🟨
46'
S. Aas
ODD Ballklubb
🔄
62'
L. Vilsvik ↔ O. Enersen
Stromsgodset
🔄
62'
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa ↔ K. Antonsen
Stromsgodset
🔄
69'
M. Mehnert ↔ E. Melkersen
Stromsgodset
🟨
71'
J. Vadstrup
ODD Ballklubb
🔄
72'
S. Aas ↔ O. Skau
ODD Ballklubb
🔄
80'
G. Wikheim ↔ M. Spiten
Stromsgodset
🔄
80'
F. Tewelde ↔ C. Glenna
ODD Ballklubb
🔄
80'
S. Bojadzic ↔ H. Hardarson
ODD Ballklubb
🔄
80'
V. Rasmussen ↔ K. Holte
ODD Ballklubb
87'
H. Hardarson · Assist: N. Kojo
ODD Ballklubb
89'
E. Melkersen
Stromsgodset
🟨
90+5'
H. Stengel
Stromsgodset
🔄
90'
N. Kojo ↔ G. Ambrose
ODD Ballklubb

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stromsgodset Win 64.4%
Draw 3.3%
ODD Ballklubb Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stromsgodset1.99
ODD Ballklubb1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WWDLW
50 GF / 35 GA
ODD Ballklubb ODD Ballklubb
WLDWL
41 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
13
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 20 matches
ODD Ballklubb ODD Ballklubb 22 matches
Stromsgodset Statistic ODD Ballklubb
9 Wins 14
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
50 Goals For 41
35 Goals Against 27
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stromsgodset come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ODD Ballklubb having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ODD Ballklubb.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 26 points from 11 games, Stromsgodset bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 32:12, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Pingel (12 goals), H. Stengel (5 goals), M. Mehnert (5 goals), with creative support from V. Dedes (5 assists), M. Mehnert (4 assists), L. Vilsvik (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

ODD Ballklubb Analysis

ODD Ballklubb sit 4 with 22 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 24:14 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Tewelde (9 goals), S. Bojadzic (4 goals), N. Kojo (3 goals), with creative support from S. Skjeldal (5 assists), S. Bojadzic (4 assists), S. Aas (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Stromsgodset won 3 times, ODD Ballklubb won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Stromsgodset's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
H2H summary: Stromsgodset wins 3, draws 4, ODD Ballklubb wins 6

Lineups

Stromsgodset
Formation
ODD Ballklubb
M. Lamhauge
M. Lamhauge
L. Vilsvik
L. Vilsvik
J. Taaje
J. Taaje
G. Valsvik
G. Valsvik
V. Dedes
V. Dedes
K. Krasniqi
K. Krasniqi
H. Stengel
H. Stengel
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
🎯
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
G. Wikheim
G. Wikheim
M. Mehnert
M. Mehnert
S. Pingel
S. Pingel
S. Hansen
S. Hansen
S. Aas
S. Aas
H. Bonnesen
H. Bonnesen
J. Vadstrup
J. Vadstrup
S. Skjeldal
S. Skjeldal
F. Jorgensen
F. Jorgensen
D. Soderberg
D. Soderberg
N. Kojo
🎯
N. Kojo
V. Rasmussen
V. Rasmussen
S. Bojadzic
🎯
S. Bojadzic
F. Tewelde
F. Tewelde
Stromsgodset 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Lamhauge
26
L. Vilsvik
↓ 62'
25
J. Taaje
71
G. Valsvik
3
V. Dedes
8
K. Krasniqi
🟨 34'
10
H. Stengel
🟨 90+5'
16
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
🎯 7' ↓ 62'
80
G. Wikheim
↓ 80'
77
M. Mehnert
⚽ 7' ↓ 69'
11
S. Pingel
Substitutes
12
S. Lampinen-Skaug
5
B. Sormo
9
E. Melkersen
⚽ 89' ↑ 69'
14
O. Enersen
↑ 62'
19
A. Skistad
22
K. Antonsen
↑ 62'
37
S. A. Marcello Silalahi
39
M. Spiten
↑ 80'
47
S. Andresen
ODD Ballklubb 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Hansen
18
S. Aas
↓ 72' 🟨 46'
5
H. Bonnesen
6
J. Vadstrup
🟨 71'
13
S. Skjeldal
7
F. Jorgensen
⚽ 42'
8
D. Soderberg
🟨 30'
23
N. Kojo
🎯 87' ↓ 90'
10
V. Rasmussen
↓ 80'
9
S. Bojadzic
🎯 42' ↓ 80'
28
F. Tewelde
↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
I. Lysgard
11
C. Glenna
↑ 80'
14
J. Gunnerod
15
O. Skau
↑ 72'
17
G. Ambrose
↑ 90'
20
H. Hardarson
⚽ 87' ↑ 80'
27
K. Holte
↑ 80'
Last matches: Stromsgodset
04.07.26
1.
Stromsgodset
hodd
3
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
5
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Moss
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
10.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Asane
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sandnes ULF
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Haugesund
2
4
L
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
3
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo
0
3
L
18.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
4
4
D
Last matches: ODD Ballklubb
05.07.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Haugesund
1
3
L
21.06.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
hodd
0
0
D
14.06.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Asane
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Lyn
3
0
W
25.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Ranheim
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
16.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Moss
2
3
L
11.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Egersund
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Raufoss
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Bryne
2
1
W
19.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Stabaek
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Sandnes ULF
3
1
W
06.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
4
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Lyn
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Strommen
2
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Moss
2
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Inter Turku
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Fredrikstad
1
4
L
18.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Brann
1
6
L
H2H: Stromsgodset vs ODD Ballklubb
27.06.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
18.02.26
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
2
0
L
28.07.24
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
2
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
3
L
22.10.23
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
1
W
29.05.23
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
04.03.23
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
1
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
5
1
L
09.07.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
3
L
29.08.21
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
0
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
21.07.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
0
W
10.07.21
H2H
ODD Ballklubb
Stromsgodset
0
0
D
Last matches: Stromsgodset
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
H2H at home: Stromsgodset
27.06.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
3
L
22.10.23
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
1
W
09.07.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
3
L
21.08.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
21.07.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
0
W
Last matches: ODD Ballklubb
14.06.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Asane
1
2
L
20.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
11.05.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Egersund
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Bryne
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
ODD Ballklubb
Sandnes ULF
3
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Fredrikstad
1
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Brann
1
6
L
10.02.26
Fri
ODD Ballklubb
Malmo FF
2
0
W
H2H away: ODD Ballklubb
27.06.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
1
3
W
22.10.23
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
1
L
09.07.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
3
W
21.08.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
21.07.21
H2H
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
3
0
L

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11 14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation