NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
1.91
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Strommen Win 63.1%
Draw 18.6%
Raufoss Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strommen1.66
Raufoss1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strommen Strommen
WWDLW
39 GF / 59 GA
Raufoss Raufoss
WLDWL
41 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.52
2.19
Average Goals Conceded
2
16
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strommen Strommen 27 matches
Raufoss Raufoss 27 matches
Strommen Statistic Raufoss
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 4
15 Losses 13
39 Goals For 41
59 Goals Against 54
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
2.19 Avg Goals Conceded 2
16 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Raufoss. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strommen expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Raufoss in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Raufoss having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Strommen Analysis

With 15 points from 18 games and a place of 16, Strommen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Raufoss Analysis

Raufoss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 16 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 22:43 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Strommen won 5 times, Raufoss won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Strommen's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Strommen 5-3-2 / Raufoss 3-5-2
H2H summary: Strommen wins 5, draws 3, Raufoss wins 5
Last matches: Strommen
16.08.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
3
4
L
09.08.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
1
4
L
02.08.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
26.07.26
1.
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
03.07.26
1.
Strommen
Raufoss
0
1
L
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
Last matches: Raufoss
16.08.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
1
2
L
09.08.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
2
7
L
02.08.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
0
2
L
26.07.26
1.
Raufoss
Moss
2
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sogndal
3
1
W
14.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
1
6
L
31.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
3
4
L
25.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Bryne
3
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Lyn
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Egersund
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Raufoss
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Raufoss
hodd
1
1
D
17.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Ranheim
1
5
L
13.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Mjondalen
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sogndal
1
1
D
H2H: Strommen vs Raufoss
03.07.26
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
L
07.03.26
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
L
24.04.25
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
2
L
15.05.21
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
1
1
D
24.10.20
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
3
2
W
03.08.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
1
D
18.06.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
1
L
20.10.19
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
W
22.04.19
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
L
28.08.16
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
5
W
29.06.16
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
4
0
W
Last matches: Strommen
09.08.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
1
4
L
26.07.26
1.
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
H2H at home: Strommen
24.04.25
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
W
15.05.21
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
1
1
D
24.10.20
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
3
2
W
20.10.19
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
W
29.06.16
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
4
0
W
Last matches: Raufoss
09.08.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
2
7
L
26.07.26
1.
Raufoss
Moss
2
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
1
6
L
25.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
2
1
W
06.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Egersund
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Raufoss
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Ranheim
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sogndal
1
1
D
H2H away: Raufoss
24.04.25
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
L
15.05.21
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
1
1
D
24.10.20
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
3
2
L
20.10.19
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
L
29.06.16
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.37
Draw 4.09
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 2.54
Home 2.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.51
Over 2.75 1.63
Over 3.0 1.81
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 3.75 2.56
Over 4.5 3.80
Under 1.5 5.16
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.76
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.70
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.75
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.90
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.84
Draw 2.39
Home 2.37
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 2.80
Home 2.16
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.71
Over 3.25 1.98
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.0 3.02
Over 4.25 3.30
Over 4.5 3.58
Over 4.75 4.44
Over 5.0 5.95
Over 5.25 6.25
Over 5.5 6.55
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Under 0.5 13.70
Under 1.0 10.00
Under 1.5 5.05
Under 1.75 4.65
Under 2.0 4.20
Under 2.25 2.97
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.20
Under 3.0 1.96
Under 3.25 1.78
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.31
Under 4.25 1.25
Under 4.5 1.21
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 3.65
Home 1.84
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.48
Home 2.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.85
Home 2.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 3.80
Over 5.5 6.40
Under 1.5 4.70
Under 2.5 2.33
Under 3.0 1.87
Under 3.5 1.55
Under 4.5 1.21
Under 5.5 1.07

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 48:19 29 39
W W W W W
2 18 12 3 3 48:28 20 39
W W L W W
3 18 12 1 5 57:36 21 37
L W W L W
4 18 10 5 3 47:26 21 35
W L W D L
5 18 9 3 6 32:32 0 30
W W W L W
6 18 8 5 5 35:28 7 29
L D W D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W W W L W
8 18 8 2 8 31:32 -1 26
L W W D W
9 18 7 2 9 44:45 -1 23
L W L L L
10 18 6 3 9 32:43 -11 21
W L L W L
11 18 6 2 10 29:38 -9 20
W L W D W
12 19 6 2 11 26:35 -9 20
L L L L L
13 18 5 3 10 29:41 -12 18
L D L L L
14 18 5 2 11 27:40 -13 17
W L L D L
15 18 5 1 12 22:43 -21 16
L L L W W
16 18 4 3 11 25:45 -20 15
L L W D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation