22.04.2026 19:00
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: F. Letexier
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Nice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Andrew Omobamidele
Strasbourg
⚽
51'
E. Wahi · Assist: J. Clauss
Nice
🔄
59'
T. Louchet ↔ M. Cho
Nice
🟨
60'
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Nice
🔄
64'
E. Emegha ↔ S. Nanasi
Strasbourg
🔄
64'
B. Chilwell ↔ G. Yassine
Strasbourg
🔄
72'
M. Oyedele ↔ S. Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🔄
73'
M. Sanson ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🟨
77'
Diego Moreira
Strasbourg
VAR
79'
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Nice
⚽
82'
E. Wahi
Nice
🟨
84'
Maxime Dupé
Nice
🔄
88'
A. Omobamidele ↔ D. D. Fofana
Strasbourg
🔄
88'
E. Wahi ↔ C. Vanhoutte
Nice
🟨
90+4'
Hicham Boudaoui
Nice

Strasbourg vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 59.2%
Draw 14.6%
Nice Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.79
Nice1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
80 GF / 51 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
47 GF / 79 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
28
BTTS Yes
25
29
Over 2.5
24
5.29
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 45 matches
Nice Nice 44 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Nice
24 Wins 10
10 Draws 10
11 Losses 24
80 Goals For 47
51 Goals Against 79
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
28 BTTS Yes 25
35 Over 1.5 34
29 Over 2.5 24
15 Over 3.5 17
13 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 16
5.29 Shots On Goal 3.68
12.47 Total Shots 11.52
4.33 Corners 5.27
55% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nice. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strasbourg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nice in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nice having the stronger overall control.

Strasbourg Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Strasbourg arrive from a league campaign that has them - with - points after - matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at -:- reflects poor form . Much of their attacking weight falls on J. Enciso (6 goals), J. Panichelli (2 goals), M. Godo (2 goals), with creative support from V. Barco (5 assists), J. Panichelli (3 assists), M. Godo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which supports an unclear split record. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a balanced approach.

Nice Analysis

Nice enter this tie with a season profile built on - points from - matches, placing them - in their league. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a -:- goal balance, points toward poor form . Their attacking influence is driven by S. Diop (2 goals), A. Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from J. Clauss (3 assists), E. Wahi (1 assists), and at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. Stylistically they continue to show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 5 times, Nice won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Strasbourg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-2-3-1 / Nice 5-4-1
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 5, draws 4, Nice wins 5