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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
15.08.2026 14:00
bet365 Stadium
Referee: Oliver Langford, England
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
E. Bocat · Assist: T. Rigo
Stoke City
⚽
22'
J. Opoku · Assist: Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🟨
36'
Luke Graham
Stoke City
🔄
46'
B. Lawal ↔ M. Talovierov
Stoke City
🟨
53'
Filip Lissah
Swansea
🔄
55'
F. Lissah ↔ J. Key
Swansea
🔄
65'
M. K. Yeo ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
🔄
65'
E. Just ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
65'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
⚽
66'
A. Idah · Assist: J. Tymon
Swansea
🔄
70'
S. Ingelsson ↔ D. Soumare
Stoke City
🔄
70'
T. Rigo ↔ Bae Jun-Ho
Stoke City
🔄
70'
S. Gallagher ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
🔄
84'
J. Fulton ↔ L. Walta
Swansea
🟨
86'
Melker Widell
Swansea
🟨
90+1'
Josh Tymon
Swansea

Stoke City vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 37.4%
Draw 6.7%
Swansea Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.01
Swansea0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 4 matches
Swansea Swansea 5 matches
Stoke City Statistic Swansea
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 7 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Stoke City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Stoke City 3, Swansea 3
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 7, draws 3, Swansea wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One