Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
56.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.4%
|
- |
Stoke City
Millwall
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stoke City
45 matches
Millwall
44 matches
| Stoke City | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 22 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 12 |
| 51 | Goals For | 59 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 11.07 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 5.53 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 45.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Stoke City appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Millwall. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 76 points while Stoke City sit 17 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Stoke City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millwall.
With 55 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Stoke City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 49:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Thomas (10 goals), M. Manhoef (7 goals), D. Mubama (5 goals), with creative support from S. Thomas (10 assists), M. Manhoef (3 assists), J. Bae (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Ampah, V. Johansson, B. Wilmot unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Millwall arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 76 points after 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 56:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Ivanovic (9 goals), F. Azeez (8 goals), Josh Coburn (8 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), A. Doughty (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 1 times, Millwall won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:17 from Stoke City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Stoke City
4
6
5
5
3
3
Lineups
Stoke City
Valencia
Stoke City
Everton
Stoke City
Crewe
Stoke City
SC Braga
Stoke City
Bristol City
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Stoke City
Wrexham
Stoke City
Blackburn
Stoke City
Derby
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
Preston
Stoke City
Watford
Stoke City
Ipswich
Stoke City
Swansea
Stoke City
Coventry
Stoke City
Oxford United
Stoke City
Leicester
Stoke City
Fulham
Stoke City
Charlton
Stoke City
West Brom
Millwall
Antwerp
Millwall
Bromley
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Stoke City
Valencia
Stoke City
Everton
Stoke City
SC Braga
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Stoke City
Blackburn
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
Watford
Stoke City
Ipswich
Stoke City
Oxford United
Stoke City
Leicester
Stoke City
Fulham
Stoke City
Southampton
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
QPR
Stoke City
Coventry
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
Stoke City
Preston
Stoke City
Swansea
Stoke City
Hull City
Stoke City
Charlton
Millwall
Bromley
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
Coventry
Millwall
Watford
Millwall
Burnley
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Away
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Stoke City
Home
|
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|