SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Danderyd IP
Stocksund
Match Timeline
Karlberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
M. Mitku
Karlberg
🟨
41'
Karlberg
Karlberg
🟨
51'
Stocksund
Stocksund
🟨
56'
Stocksund
Stocksund
🔄
60'
D. Hussein ↔ L. Wennerlind
Stocksund
🔄
60'
S. Badome ↔ J. Sibeene
Stocksund
73'
A. Jemal
Karlberg
🔄
74'
S. Lager ↔ R. Banda
Stocksund
🔄
74'
N. Wagberg ↔ N. Maache
Stocksund
🔄
74'
M. Mitku ↔ A. Jamshidi
Karlberg
🔄
74'
H. Aslund ↔ L. Sietsema
Karlberg
🟨
79'
Karlberg
Karlberg
🔄
81'
N. Vainio ↔ A. Fati
Karlberg
🔄
86'
N. Negash ↔ A. Backman
Karlberg
🔄
86'
H. Fernandez ↔ F. Hogberg
Karlberg
🟨
90+2'
R. Banda
Stocksund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stocksund Win 23.3%
Draw 10%
Karlberg Win 66.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stocksund1.66
Karlberg2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stocksund Stocksund
WWDLW
39 GF / 56 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
51 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.04
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
19
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stocksund Stocksund 23 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 25 matches
Stocksund Statistic Karlberg
3 Wins 12
7 Draws 4
13 Losses 9
39 Goals For 51
56 Goals Against 40
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
19 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 14
0 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Karlberg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Karlberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 18 points while Stocksund sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Stocksund Analysis

Stocksund sit 16 with 8 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 28:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karlberg Analysis

So far, Karlberg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 18 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund won 4 times, Karlberg won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Stocksund's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Stocksund wins 4, draws 4, Karlberg wins 7

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L