Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.2%
|
- |
Stevenage
Barnsley
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stevenage
44 matches
Barnsley
45 matches
| Stevenage | Statistic | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 70 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 73 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.49 | Shots On Goal | 3.91 |
| 9.81 | Total Shots | 11.49 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.87 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Stevenage's more proactive style and Barnsley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barnsley having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barnsley.
Stevenage are currently 6 in the standings with 68 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 43:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Reid (14 goals), Daniel Kemp (6 goals), C. Campbell (4 goals), with creative support from H. White (7 assists), Daniel Kemp (4 assists), J. Reid (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Barnsley sit 12 with 56 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 14 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 63:65 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by David McGoldrick (15 goals), D. Keillor-Dunn (13 goals), A. Phillips (7 goals), with creative support from Reyes Cleary (13 assists), A. Phillips (5 assists), Patrick Kelly (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Barnsley won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Stevenage's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Stevenage
5
2
5
3
3
5
Lineups
Stevenage
Colchester
Stevenage
Millwall
Stevenage
West Ham
Stevenage
FC Andorra
Stevenage
Stockport County
Stevenage
Stockport County
Stevenage
Wigan
Stevenage
Doncaster
Stevenage
Lincoln
Stevenage
Bolton
Stevenage
Bradford
Stevenage
Blackpool
Stevenage
Rotherham
Stevenage
Reading
Stevenage
Plymouth
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
Stevenage
Burton Albion
Stevenage
Stockport County
Stevenage
Wycombe
Barnsley
Guiseley AFC
Barnsley
Lincoln
Barnsley
Scarborough Athletic
Barnsley
Blackburn
Barnsley
York
Barnsley
Matlock Town
Barnsley
Stockport County
Barnsley
Northampton
Barnsley
Luton
Barnsley
Bradford
Barnsley
Port Vale
Barnsley
Rotherham
Barnsley
Plymouth
Barnsley
Burton Albion
Barnsley
Doncaster
Barnsley
Wigan
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
Cardiff
Barnsley
Exeter City
Barnsley
Wycombe
Stevenage
Colchester
Stevenage
Millwall
Stevenage
West Ham
Stevenage
Stockport County
Stevenage
Wigan
Stevenage
Lincoln
Stevenage
Blackpool
Stevenage
Reading
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
Stevenage
Stockport County
Stevenage
Port Vale
Stevenage
Huddersfield
Stevenage
Peterborough
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
Stevenage
Bolton
Stevenage
Plymouth
Stevenage
Burton Albion
Stevenage
Cardiff
Stevenage
Doncaster
Barnsley
Guiseley AFC
Barnsley
Scarborough Athletic
Barnsley
Blackburn
Barnsley
York
Barnsley
Matlock Town
Barnsley
Northampton
Barnsley
Luton
Barnsley
Port Vale
Barnsley
Rotherham
Barnsley
Burton Albion
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
Leyton Orient
Barnsley
Huddersfield
Barnsley
Bolton
Barnsley
Cardiff
Barnsley
Reading
Barnsley
Liverpool
Barnsley
Wigan
Barnsley
Exeter City
Barnsley
Lincoln
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Stevenage
Home
|
46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Barnsley
Away
|
46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|