NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Referee: C. Moen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.9%
1.52
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
1.14
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Start Win 21.9%
Draw 4.2%
Viking Win 73.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.04
Viking2.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
27 GF / 50 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
56 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2.43
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
14
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
15
3.54
Shots on Goal
5.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 24 matches
Viking Viking 23 matches
Start Statistic Viking
5 Wins 17
5 Draws 4
14 Losses 2
27 Goals For 56
50 Goals Against 21
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
14 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 1
3.54 Shots On Goal 5.62
11.38 Total Shots 15.08
3.23 Corners 6.62
39.7% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Start's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 33 points while Start sit 16 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Start expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Viking. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 14 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Jesper Cornelius (4 goals), Hakon Lorentzen (2 goals), Ousmane Diallo Toure (2 goals), with creative support from Tom Strannegård (3 assists), Hakon Lorentzen (2 assists), Erlend Segberg (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 33 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 33:13 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Peter Christiansen (7 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (4 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Start won 1 times, Viking won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Start's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Start 5, Viking 5
H2H summary: Start wins 1, draws 2, Viking wins 5
Last matches: Start
25.07.26
Eli
Start
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
Last matches: Viking
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
H2H: Start vs Viking
16.05.26
H2H
Viking
Start
6
3
L
06.02.26
H2H
Viking
Start
4
0
L
23.03.25
H2H
Start
Viking
4
3
W
25.04.21
H2H
Viking
Start
3
3
D
28.11.20
H2H
Viking
Start
4
1
L
04.07.20
H2H
Start
Viking
1
1
D
02.10.16
H2H
Viking
Start
2
0
L
02.04.16
H2H
Start
Viking
0
1
L
Last matches: Start
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Start
Vindbjart
2
0
W
H2H at home: Start
23.03.25
H2H
Start
Viking
4
3
W
04.07.20
H2H
Start
Viking
1
1
D
02.04.16
H2H
Start
Viking
0
1
L
Last matches: Viking
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
23.03.25
H2H
Start
Viking
4
3
L
04.07.20
H2H
Start
Viking
1
1
D
02.04.16
H2H
Start
Viking
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.52
Draw 4.67
Home 5.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.06
Draw 2.62
Home 5.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.78
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.27
Over 3.75 2.63
Over 4.5 3.91
Over 5.5 7.27
Under 1.5 5.30
Under 2.5 2.58
Under 2.75 2.32
Under 3.0 2.04
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 4.75
Home 5.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 2.60
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 2.88
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.54
Draw 4.61
Home 5.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 2.51
Home 5.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.77
Draw 2.98
Home 4.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.13
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.31
Over 2.5 1.45
Over 2.75 1.57
Over 3.0 1.73
Over 3.25 2.03
Over 3.5 2.26
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.0 3.00
Over 4.25 3.28
Over 4.5 3.54
Over 4.75 4.33
Over 5.0 5.70
Over 5.25 6.00
Over 5.5 6.30
Over 6.0 9.70
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 4.90
Under 1.75 4.50
Under 2.0 4.05
Under 2.25 2.93
Under 2.5 2.42
Under 2.75 2.20
Under 3.0 1.95
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.45
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.25
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.52
Draw 4.20
Home 5.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 2.60
Home 4.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.82
Draw 2.95
Home 4.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.0 3.05
Over 4.25 3.35
Over 4.5 3.65
Over 4.75 4.40
Over 5.0 5.75
Over 5.5 6.10
Under 1.5 4.80
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 3.0 1.93
Under 3.25 1.72
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.25 1.25
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16
Start Home
15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Start 5 missing
-
J. Torkildsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Meyer
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
K. Tonnesen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
F. Lien
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Nordal
Questionable Illness
OUT
Viking 5 missing
-
A. Baertelsen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
H. Falchener
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Stensness
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT