NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Sparebanken Sør Arena
Referee: J. Haugen
Start
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Mikael Ugland
Start
🟨
33'
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Tromso
33'
J. Hjerto-Dahl · Assist: T. Guddal
Tromso
🟨
46'
Erlend Segberg
Start
🔄
58'
T. Nyhammer ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🔄
69'
S. Griesbeck ↔ F. Palerud
Start
🔄
69'
J. Cornelius ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
🔄
75'
L. Cornic ↔ I. Vadebu
Tromso
75'
E. Segberg · Assist: T. Strannegard
Start
🔄
77'
M. Ugland ↔ M. Soomets
Start
🔄
77'
E. Schulze ↔ S. Mvoue
Start
🔄
86'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd ↔ S. Innvaer
Tromso
🔄
89'
H. Lorentzen ↔ J. Norheim
Start
🟨
90+4'
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Start
🟨
90+2'
Isak Vadebu
Tromso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Start Win 32.1%
Draw 12.2%
Tromso Win 55.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start0.89
Tromso1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
16 GF / 27 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
8
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
3.86
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 15 matches
Tromso Tromso 13 matches
Start Statistic Tromso
3 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 1
16 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 8
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
8 BTTS Yes 3
14 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 3
3.86 Shots On Goal 5.88
10.71 Total Shots 14.88
3.86 Corners 7
42.4% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tromso's more proactive style and Start's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 19 points while Start sit 15 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tromso. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 3 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Cornelius (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), E. Schulze (1 goals), with creative support from E. Schulze (1 assists), H. Lorentzen (1 assists), M. Ugland (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 8 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 14:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Hjerto-Dahl (4 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (4 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Start won 3 times, Tromso won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Start's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Start 6, Tromso 2
H2H summary: Start wins 3, draws 3, Tromso wins 1
Stats
Start Start
Tromso Tromso
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
511 Total passes 447
399 Passes accurate 334
0.92 expected_goals 0.43
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Start
Formation
Tromso
J. Larsen
J. Larsen
O. Toure
O. Toure
E. Reitan
E. Reitan
S. Griesbeck
S. Griesbeck
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
T. Strannegard
🎯
T. Strannegard
E. Schulze
E. Schulze
E. Segberg
E. Segberg
M. Ugland
M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius
J. Haugaard
J. Haugaard
L. Cornic
L. Cornic
V. Skjaervik
V. Skjaervik
T. Guddal
🎯
T. Guddal
A. S. Kinteh
A. S. Kinteh
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
D. Edvardsson
D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen
R. Jenssen
J. Hjerto-Dahl
J. Hjerto-Dahl
T. Nyhammer
T. Nyhammer
H. Larsen
H. Larsen
Start 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Larsen
G
27
O. Toure
D
29
E. Reitan
🟨 90+4'
D
13
S. Griesbeck
↓ 69'
D
5
O. Jebali
D
16
T. Strannegard
🎯 75'
D
11
E. Schulze
↓ 77'
M
23
E. Segberg
⚽ 75' 🟨 46'
M
18
M. Ugland
↓ 77' 🟨 23'
M
20
H. Lorentzen
↓ 89'
F
17
J. Cornelius
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
G
14
M. Soomets
↑ 77'
M
7
A. F. Gurendal
F
30
L. Gausdal
M
6
J. Norheim
↑ 89'
D
2
F. Palerud
↑ 69'
D
10
S. Mvoue
↑ 77'
M
22
J. Ampofo
↑ 69'
F
37
F. Lien
M
Tromso 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Haugaard
G
2
L. Cornic
↓ 75'
D
4
V. Skjaervik
D
21
T. Guddal
🎯 33'
D
25
A. S. Kinteh
D
29
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
↓ 86'
D
5
D. Edvardsson
M
11
R. Jenssen
M
6
J. Hjerto-Dahl
⚽ 33' 🟨 33'
M
10
T. Nyhammer
↓ 58'
F
22
H. Larsen
F
Substitutes
12
O. Lauvli
G
9
D. Braut
↑ 58'
F
27
M. Mikkelsen
M
92
J. Nois
M
24
J. Husebo
D
30
I. Vadebu
↑ 75' 🟨 90+2'
D
37
S. Innvaer
↑ 86'
M
3
M. Tonnessen
D
Last matches: Start
08.08.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Start
Viking
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eli
Start
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
Last matches: Tromso
06.08.26
UEF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
5
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
6
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
18.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Valerenga
4
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
H2H: Start vs Tromso
03.05.26
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
27.03.26
H2H
Tromso
Start
1
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
21.10.18
H2H
Tromso
Start
1
2
W
11.03.18
H2H
Start
Tromso
4
1
W
16.10.16
H2H
Start
Tromso
2
1
W
18.03.16
H2H
Tromso
Start
0
0
D
Last matches: Start
08.08.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Start
Viking
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Start
Vindbjart
2
0
W
H2H at home: Start
03.05.26
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
11.03.18
H2H
Start
Tromso
4
1
W
16.10.16
H2H
Start
Tromso
2
1
W
Last matches: Tromso
06.08.26
UEF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
5
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
6
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
H2H away: Tromso
03.05.26
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
11.03.18
H2H
Start
Tromso
4
1
L
16.10.16
H2H
Start
Tromso
2
1
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 16 13 1 2 39:15 24 40
W W D W W
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 16 8 1 7 22:20 2 25
L L L W W
5 16 7 3 6 29:24 5 24
L D W L D
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 16 6 4 6 19:21 -2 22
L D W D W
8 16 6 4 6 24:27 -3 22
D W L L L
9 16 6 3 7 23:21 2 21
W L W W W
10 16 6 2 8 23:29 -6 20
L L W W L
11 16 6 2 8 17:27 -10 20
W W L L L
12 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 16 4 3 9 15:26 -11 15
W L L D L
15 16 2 8 6 22:36 -14 14
D L D L D
16
Start Home
17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Start 6 missing
-
J. Meyer
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
S. Mvoue
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
J. Torkildsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Norheim
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
K. Tonnesen
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
A. Ujkani
Questionable Injury
OUT
Tromso 2 missing
-
J. Grundt
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
V. Ekblom
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT