NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Start Win 67.1%
Draw 22.4%
Rosenborg Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.17
Rosenborg1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
25 GF / 46 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.21
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
9
3.54
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 22 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 19 matches
Start Statistic Rosenborg
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
13 Losses 7
25 Goals For 23
46 Goals Against 23
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
13 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
3.54 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.38 Total Shots 11.83
3.23 Corners 5.83
39.7% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rosenborg. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Start expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Rosenborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosenborg having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Cornelius (4 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), Steve Mvoué (2 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), H. Lorentzen (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosenborg Analysis

Rosenborg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 9 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 9:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Amin Chiakha (2 goals), Dino Islamović (2 goals), S. Nordli (2 goals), with creative support from O. Selnaes (2 assists), E. K. Ceide (1 assists), I. Fossum (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Start won 0 times, Rosenborg won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:10 from Start's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Rosenborg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Start wins 0, draws 1, Rosenborg wins 6
Last matches: Start
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Start
Lyn
2
0
W
Last matches: Rosenborg
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
28.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
1
4
L
H2H: Start vs Rosenborg
24.02.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
L
01.11.20
H2H
Rosenborg
Start
1
0
L
16.07.20
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
0
D
11.11.18
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
1
L
22.04.18
H2H
Rosenborg
Start
2
0
L
18.09.16
H2H
Rosenborg
Start
2
0
L
12.05.16
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
2
L
Last matches: Start
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Start
Vindbjart
2
0
W
H2H at home: Start
16.07.20
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
0
D
11.11.18
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
1
L
12.05.16
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
2
L
Last matches: Rosenborg
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
1
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
1
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
2
0
W
H2H away: Rosenborg
16.07.20
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
0
D
11.11.18
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
1
W
12.05.16
H2H
Start
Rosenborg
0
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:14 8 28
W D D L W
2 11 9 0 2 29:11 18 27
L W W W W
3 12 8 2 2 30:11 19 26
W D W W W
4 12 7 1 4 19:11 8 22
W L L W L
5 12 6 2 4 20:15 5 20
D W L W L
6 11 5 3 3 19:18 1 18
D D W L W
7 12 5 2 5 14:16 -2 17
W W W L W
8 13 5 1 7 26:21 5 16
W L L L W
9 12 4 3 5 12:15 -3 15
D L D L W
10 12 4 2 6 15:22 -7 14
L W D W L
11 12 4 2 6 13:21 -8 14
L W L W L
12 12 2 6 4 17:22 -5 12
D D D W W
13 12 3 3 6 12:18 -6 12
W D L L W
14 12 3 3 6 12:19 -7 12
L D W L L
15 12 3 2 7 11:21 -10 11
L L L W L
16
Start Home
13 1 4 8 14:30 -16 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen