NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
19.04.2026 17:15
Sparebanken Sør Arena
Referee: Sivert Amland, Norway
Start
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
J. Cornelius
Start
🟨
24'
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Start
🔄
46'
T. Kone-Doherty ↔ E. Hestad
Molde
🟨
61'
Eirik Hestad
Molde
🔄
62'
J. Christensen ↔ M. Daehli
Molde
🔄
62'
M. Linnes ↔ B. Risa
Molde
🔄
62'
V. Hoff ↔ F. Gulbrandsen
Molde
⚽
64'
E. Breivik · Assist: S. Hansen
Molde
🔄
65'
E. Schulze ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
🔄
69'
M. Ugland ↔ M. Soomets
Start
🟨
76'
Birk Risa
Molde
🔄
84'
K. Tonnesen ↔ S. Griesbeck
Start
🔄
84'
J. Cornelius ↔ A. F. Gurendal
Start
🔄
90+3'
J. Abdullai ↔ S. Granaas
Molde

Start vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Start Win 55.2%
Draw 0%
Molde Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.18
Molde1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 12 matches
Molde Molde 10 matches
Start Statistic Molde
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
14 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 12
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
6 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 4.5
9.5 Total Shots 12.75
5 Corners 5.5
45% Ball Possession 62.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Molde seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Molde. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Molde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 6 points while Start sit 16 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Start expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Molde in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Start Analysis

Start sit 16 with 2 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 1:3 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Reitan (1 goals), J. Cornelius (1 goals), O. Toure (1 goals), with creative support from E. Schulze (1 assists), H. Lorentzen (1 assists), M. Ugland (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Meyer, S. Mvoue, F. Palerud unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Molde Analysis

Molde are currently 6 in the standings with 6 points from 4 matches. The record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Breivik (4 goals), Eirik Hestad (1 goals), J. Abdullai (1 goals), with creative support from C. Zady (1 assists), H. Stenevik (1 assists), M. Kikkenborg (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with S. Kabini, M. Daehli, D. Daga unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Start won 0 times, Molde won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Start's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Molde 4-4-2
Missing players: Start 5, Molde 8
H2H summary: Start wins 0, draws 3, Molde wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4
Molde Away
21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Home
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen