FRANCE LIGUE 1
29.08.2026 18:45
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
J. Russell-Rowe · Assist: Y. Gboho
Toulouse
18'
K. Doumbia · Assist: M. Diambou
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
31'
Bradley Locko
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
44'
Pathé Mboup
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
45+3'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Toulouse
🔄
46'
I. Diallo ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
60'
A. Vossah ↔ N. Schmidt
Toulouse
62'
C. Tape · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
67'
R. Del Castillo ↔ M. Balde
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
67'
J. Vignolo ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
75'
M. Diambou ↔ H. Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
K. Doumbia ↔ J. Nonge
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
78'
T. Jorgensen ↔ S. Koumbassa
Toulouse
🔄
78'
J. Russell-Rowe ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
83'
G. Lloris ↔ L. Tousart
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
83'
P. Mboup ↔ L. C. Laine M.
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
89'
Niklas Schmidt
Toulouse
🟨
90+4'
Rasmus Nicolaisen
Toulouse
90'
L. Ajorque · Assist: H. Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.1%
1.44
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 31.9%
Draw 21%
Toulouse Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.54
Toulouse1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 7 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 4 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Toulouse
1 Wins 1
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 4
14 Goals Against 6
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
7 Shots On Goal 2
26 Total Shots 17
10 Corners 6
50% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 5 times, Toulouse won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 2, Toulouse 2
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 5, draws 5, Toulouse wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation