BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
23.04.2026 18:45
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
St. Truiden
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Anderlecht
🟨
66'
Moussa Diarra
Anderlecht
🔄
66'
J. Pupe ↔ S. Jukleroed
St. Truiden
🔄
70'
Y. Verschaeren ↔ T. Hazard
Anderlecht
🔄
70'
A. Maamar ↔ I. Camara
Anderlecht
🔄
71'
R. Yamamoto ↔ R. Merlen
St. Truiden
75'
K. Goto · Assist: R. Ito
St. Truiden
🔄
80'
A. Bertaccini ↔ C. da Costa
Anderlecht
🔄
85'
K. Goto ↔ L. Mbe Soh
St. Truiden
🔄
85'
K. Matsuzawa ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
85'
E. Llansana ↔ K. Nga
Anderlecht
90'
R. Merlen · Assist: I. Sebaoui
St. Truiden

St. Truiden vs Anderlecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Probability Distribution
St. Truiden Win 44.3%
Draw 13.9%
Anderlecht Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Truiden1.39
Anderlecht1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WWDLW
48 GF / 38 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WLDWL
57 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
18
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
18
4.24
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Truiden St. Truiden 33 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 39 matches
St. Truiden Statistic Anderlecht
18 Wins 16
4 Draws 10
11 Losses 13
48 Goals For 57
38 Goals Against 51
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
18 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 10
4.24 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.88 Total Shots 13.69
5.64 Corners 5.49
54.6% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Anderlecht. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

St. Truiden Analysis

With 57 points from 30 games and a place of 3, St. Truiden still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 47:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Goto (10 goals), R. Ito (8 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (6 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 43:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (7 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 2 times, Anderlecht won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:27 from St. Truiden's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: St. Truiden 4-2-3-1 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St. Truiden wins 2, draws 3, Anderlecht wins 10

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs