St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
27 matches
Dundalk
26 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 45 | Goals For | 44 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.08 | Shots On Goal | 5.46 |
| 16.13 | Total Shots | 15.46 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 49.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dundalk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Dundalk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 3 place with 42 points from 24 games, St Patrick's Athl. bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 39:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Leavy (4 goals), Ryan Edmondson (4 goals), Zac Elbouzedi (3 goals), with creative support from Zac Elbouzedi (3 assists), L. Turner (3 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 35 points from 24 games and a place of 4, Dundalk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 38:36 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Horgan (4 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (3 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 6 times, Dundalk won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Dundalk
Away
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|