Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derry City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.52
Derry City1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
43 GF / 21 GA
Derry City
WLDWL
35 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
15
5
Shots on Goal
4.08
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
26 matches
Derry City
28 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 6 | Losses | 11 |
| 43 | Goals For | 35 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 15.63 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 times, Derry City won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 3-4-2-1 / Derry City 4-4-2
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 3, draws 4, Derry City wins 8
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
Last matches: Derry City
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
H2H: St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City
22.05.26
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
16.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
23.06.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
L
05.05.25
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
03.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
2
0
W
25.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
L
17.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
L
22.04.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
01.03.24
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
03.11.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
3
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
05.06.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
4
1
W
28.04.23
H2H
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
1
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
H2H at home: St Patrick's Athl.
16.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
23.06.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
L
03.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
2
0
W
25.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
L
05.06.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
4
1
W
Last matches: Derry City
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
16.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
23.06.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
W
03.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
2
0
L
25.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
0
L
17.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
1
W
05.06.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
4
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1