Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
46.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
ST Mirren
35 matches
Kilmarnock
35 matches
| ST Mirren | Statistic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 18 |
| 27 | Goals For | 40 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.89 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.51 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 11.8 | Total Shots | 11.09 |
| 5.66 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 42.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ST Mirren expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Kilmarnock in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kilmarnock having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. ST Mirren have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kilmarnock. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
ST Mirren sit 5 with 30 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 27:51, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Alexander Gogić (4 goals), M. Freckleton (4 goals), M. Mandron (4 goals), with creative support from D. John (5 assists), M. Mandron (4 assists), S. Tanser (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Kilmarnock come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 31 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 40:66 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tyreece John-Jules (8 goals), Bruce Anderson (4 goals), G. Kiltie (4 goals), with creative support from G. Kiltie (5 assists), Tyreece John-Jules (2 assists), Bruce Anderson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Mirren won 1 times, Kilmarnock won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from ST Mirren's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
ST Mirren
2
4
3
2
7
4
Lineups
ST Mirren
Arbroath
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Linfield
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Dundee
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Linfield
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
ST Mirren
Home
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
Away
|
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|