Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
80.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
46.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
ST Mirren
37 matches
Dundee Utd
41 matches
| ST Mirren | Statistic | Dundee Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 16 |
| 20 | Losses | 13 |
| 29 | Goals For | 54 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.51 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 11.73 | Total Shots | 12.71 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundee Utd. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ST Mirren expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Dundee Utd in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee Utd having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 30 points from 36 games and a place of 5, ST Mirren still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 27:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Freckleton (5 goals), Alexander Gogić (4 goals), M. Mandron (4 goals), with creative support from D. John (5 assists), M. Mandron (4 assists), S. Tanser (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Dundee Utd sit 1 with 43 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:59 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals), with creative support from W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, ST Mirren won 5 times, Dundee Utd won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from ST Mirren's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
ST Mirren
8
3
3
3
6
0
Lineups
ST Mirren
Arbroath
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
Salford City
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Rangers
Dundee Utd
Celtic
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
Celtic
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Salford City
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Rangers
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Celtic
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Rangers
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Rapid Vienna
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Dundee Utd
Away
|
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
ST Mirren
Home
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|