St. Louis City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St. Louis City
Toronto FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
29 matches
Toronto FC
30 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 46 | Goals For | 48 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 5 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features St. Louis City's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Toronto FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Toronto FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toronto FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, St. Louis City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 38:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Becher (3 goals), Marcel Hartel (3 goals), T. Totland (2 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), Marcel Hartel (3 assists), T. Totland (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 24 matches, Toronto FC have collected 29 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 38:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Sargent (5 goals), D. Sallói (4 goals), Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sallói (4 assists), K. Franklin (2 assists), T. Corbeanu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Toronto FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from St. Louis City's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|