🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.05.2026 00:30
CITYPARK
Referee: L. Hernandez
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Los Angeles FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
T. Totland · Assist: E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🔄
10'
J. Orozco ↔ Rafael Santos
St. Louis City
🔄
46'
S. Jeong ↔ S. Becher
St. Louis City
🟨
49'
Tomas Totland
St. Louis City
🟨
58'
Eddie Segura
Los Angeles FC
🟨
60'
Dante Polvara
St. Louis City
64'
Rafael Santos
St. Louis City
🔄
66'
E. Lowen ↔ F. Fall
St. Louis City
🟨
67'
Aaron Long
Los Angeles FC
🔄
70'
T. Boyd ↔ D. Martinez
Los Angeles FC
73'
D. Martinez · Assist: Nkosi Tafari
Los Angeles FC
🟨
76'
Simon Becher
St. Louis City
🔄
77'
M. Choiniere ↔ S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles FC
🔄
77'
E. Segura ↔ J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
🔄
77'
T. Tillman ↔ N. Ordaz
Los Angeles FC
🟨
82'
Ryan Raposo
Los Angeles FC
🔄
85'
R. Raposo ↔ R. Hollingshead
Los Angeles FC
🔄
90'
S. Cordova ↔ B. McSorley
St. Louis City

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 37.9%
Draw 13.3%
Los Angeles FC Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City0.97
Los Angeles FC1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WWDLW
14 GF / 26 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WLDWL
40 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
12
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 15 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 23 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Los Angeles FC
3 Wins 12
4 Draws 7
8 Losses 4
14 Goals For 40
26 Goals Against 24
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
8 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 3
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.65
13.73 Total Shots 12.6
6.45 Corners 5.15
49.8% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles FC. St. Louis City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Los Angeles FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 21 points while St. Louis City sit 14 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

St. Louis City Analysis

With 9 points from 11 games and a place of 14, St. Louis City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Ostrak, Celio Pompeu, M. Mbacke, C. Durkin unavailable.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Placed 3 with 21 points from 12 outings, Los Angeles FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Bouanga (5 goals), D. Martinez (3 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (7 assists), T. Tillman (2 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Dellavalle, Igor Jesus, S. Palencia unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 2 times, Los Angeles FC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:14 from St. Louis City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-4-2-1 / Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
Missing players: St. Louis City 4, Los Angeles FC 4
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 2, draws 2, Los Angeles FC wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)