St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
24 matches
Houston Dynamo
29 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 19 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 32 | Goals For | 50 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.72 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 14.3 | Total Shots | 12.95 |
| 6.05 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Houston Dynamo's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Houston Dynamo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Houston Dynamo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control.
From their first 18 matches, St. Louis City have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Houston Dynamo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a 27:24 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Guilherme (6 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 4 times, Houston Dynamo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from St. Louis City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
Away
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|