SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
33 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
33 matches
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Statistic | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 17 | Losses | 18 |
| 46 | Goals For | 33 |
| 68 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 11.91 | Total Shots | 12.61 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 47.9% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Düsseldorf having the stronger overall control. Fortuna Düsseldorf arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fortuna Düsseldorf.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 34 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 46:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Futkeu (18 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (9 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 15 with 37 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 33:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Itten (15 goals), F. Muslija (4 goals), Christian Rasmussen (2 goals), with creative support from F. Muslija (4 assists), Christian Rasmussen (4 assists), S. Appelkamp (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 8 times, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 19 | 70 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 25 | 62 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 14 | 62 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 12 | 52 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 5 | 52 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 51 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 2 | 44 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | -11 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 1 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | -18 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
|
34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | -19 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 17 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away
|
34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | -20 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | -23 | 30 |
L
D
D
L
L
|