Login Register
05.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Referee: Alipio Colman
Sportivo Trinidense
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer · Assist: Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
12'
Alexis Cantero
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
43'
Iván Maggi · Assist: Oscar Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
45+2'
Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
45'
Thiago Adalberto Franco Paniagua ↔ Aldo Maiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
45'
Adrián Brizuela ↔ Santiago Ocampos Ibarra
Sportivo Luqueno
VAR
56'
Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
58'
Lautaro Comas ↔ Marcelo Ojeda
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
61'
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
63'
Iván Maggi · Assist: Santiago Ocampos Ibarra
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
64'
Nicolás Maná ↔ Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
64'
Néstor Camacho ↔ Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
65'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
69'
Aldo Maiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
73'
Fernando Benitez Aguirre ↔ Tomás Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
76'
Gustavo Viera · Assist: Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
78'
Alan Tobias Morinigo ↔ Joel Ramón Román Ojeda
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
78'
Oscar Ruiz ↔ Marcelo Pérez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
84'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer ↔ David Villalba
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
84'
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo ↔ Luis De la Cruz
Sportivo Trinidense
VAR
87'
Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
Sportivo Trinidense

Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.6%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.29 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Trinidense Win 45.1%
Draw 28.5%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Trinidense1.52
Sportivo Luqueno1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WWDLW
50 GF / 35 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
36 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
23
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
20
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 34 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 34 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
14 Wins 9
10 Draws 6
10 Losses 19
50 Goals For 36
35 Goals Against 54
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
23 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 26
19 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 12
4.26 Shots On Goal 3.85
12.12 Total Shots 10.71
4.21 Corners 3.56
39.5% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sportivo Trinidense's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sportivo Luqueno arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Trinidense expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sportivo Luqueno in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Luqueno having the stronger overall control. Sportivo Trinidense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 20 points compared to Sportivo Luqueno in 9 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sportivo Luqueno. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense are currently 6 in the standings with 20 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:11 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Abreu (3 goals), A. Morinigo (2 goals), T. Rayer (2 goals), with creative support from A. Morinigo (2 assists), N. Maná (2 assists), N. Camacho (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 12:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Bogado (1 goals), A. Maíz (1 goals), L. Morales (1 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (2 assists), A. Maíz (1 assists), L. Morales (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense won 5 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Sportivo Trinidense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.6%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Trinidense wins 5, draws 3, Sportivo Luqueno wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 3 3 22:10 12 27
D D W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 14 7 3 4 24:14 10 24
D W W L W
5 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 14 6 2 6 18:14 4 20
W L L W D
8 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
9 14 4 1 9 14:27 -13 13
L L L W L
10 14 3 4 7 15:24 -9 13
D W D L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 14 0 4 10 5:23 -18 4
D D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)