Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
36.5%
|
3.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
-
|
15.00 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Luqueno
30 matches
Sportivo Ameliano
30 matches
| Sportivo Luqueno | Statistic | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 16 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 36 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 10.57 | Total Shots | 11.7 |
| 3.43 | Corners | 4 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sportivo Ameliano's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Sportivo Luqueno have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sportivo Ameliano in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Ameliano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Ameliano.
With 9 points from 7 games and a place of 6, Sportivo Luqueno still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lucas Morales (1 goals), Marcelo Ojeda (1 goals), Aldo Maiz (1 goals), with creative support from Lucas Morales (1 assists), Marcelo Ojeda (1 assists), Aldo Maiz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Sportivo Ameliano have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Estivel Moreira (2 goals), Raúl Cabral (1 goals), Richard Torales (1 goals), with creative support from Fabián Franco (1 assists), Carlos Favero (1 assists), Bruno López (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 4 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Away
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Home
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|