28.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Feliciano Caceres
Referee: J. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
Match Timeline
Rubio NU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
M. Perez · Assist: L. Morales
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
45'
Cristian Núñez
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
R. Ruiz Diaz ↔ M. Roldan
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
P. Alvarez Benitez ↔ T. Leiva
Rubio NU
50'
K. Paredes · Assist: J. Vallejos
Rubio NU
53'
O. Ruiz · Assist: G. Bogado
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
57'
S. Maldonado ↔ F. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
58'
F. Wiechniak ↔ J. Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
59'
M. Perez ↔ T. Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
59'
C. Nunez ↔ E. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🔄
59'
K. Paredes ↔ L. Montiel
Rubio NU
🔄
64'
E. Perez ↔ A. Paez
Rubio NU
🔄
70'
M. Ojeda ↔ S. Ocampos
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
70'
O. Ruiz ↔ J. Ramos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
81'
Jonathan Ramos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
81'
Brian Blasi
Rubio NU
🟨
90+1'
Giovanni Bogado
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
90+1'
Mauricio Roldán
Rubio NU

Sportivo Luqueno vs Rubio NU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.21
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
78.5%
1.36
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.21
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.8%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Luqueno Win 37.8%
Draw 40.6%
Rubio NU Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Luqueno1.19
Rubio NU1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WWDLW
30 GF / 45 GA
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WLDWL
20 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
17
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
8
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 28 matches
Rubio NU Rubio NU 28 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Statistic Rubio NU
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
16 Losses 14
30 Goals For 20
45 Goals Against 38
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
17 BTTS Yes 7
22 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 15
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.07
10.54 Total Shots 10.39
3.29 Corners 3.75
43.6% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rubio NU. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Rubio NU in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubio NU having the stronger overall control.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno sit 10 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Aldo Maiz (1 goals), Marcelo Ojeda (1 goals), Lucas Morales (1 goals), with creative support from Aldo Maiz (1 assists), Marcelo Ojeda (1 assists), Jonathan Ramos (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU sit 11 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Marcelo Acosta (1 goals), Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from William Mendieta (1 assists), Sergio Fretes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 5 times, Rubio NU won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.5%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1 / Rubio NU 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Luqueno wins 5, draws 5, Rubio NU wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 18:11 7 22
W W L D W
2 10 6 3 1 12:8 4 21
L W D W D
3 10 6 1 3 17:9 8 19
W W D W W
4 10 5 2 3 18:9 9 17
W L W L D
5 10 4 4 2 12:11 1 16
W W L D W
6 9 4 3 2 14:6 8 15
L W W W D
7 10 4 2 4 13:10 3 14
D W W D L
8 10 3 5 2 11:9 2 14
D W D D D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 9 2 2 5 11:19 -8 8
L W L D W
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 10 0 1 9 3:18 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)