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16.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio
Referee: Mario Diaz De Vivar, Paraguay
Sportivo Luqueno
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Gilberto Flores
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
45+2'
Néstor Giménez · Assist: Álvaro Campuzano
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
Jonathan Ramos ↔ Marcelo Perez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
46'
Marcelo Ojeda ↔ Kevin Pereira
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
46'
Robert Rojas ↔ Alexis Fretes
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
Ivan Ramirez ↔ Gustavo Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
50'
Aldo Maiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
50'
Kevin Pereira
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
54'
Marcelo Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
64'
Óscar Ruiz ↔ Axel Balbuena
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
64'
Rodrigo Villalba ↔ Agustín Manzur
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
72'
Iván Maggi ↔ Walter González
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
72'
Alexis Cantero ↔ Tomás Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
75'
Marcelo Fernandez ↔ Joaquin Bogarin
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
76'
Federico Carrizo
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
85'
Elvio Vera ↔ Lucas Sanabria
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
90+2'
Alexis Fretes
Libertad Asuncion

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Luqueno Win 34.9%
Draw 22.2%
Libertad Asuncion Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Luqueno1.21
Libertad Asuncion1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WWDLW
29 GF / 41 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
46 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
16
3.69
Shots on Goal
4.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 26 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 32 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Statistic Libertad Asuncion
7 Wins 12
5 Draws 4
14 Losses 16
29 Goals For 46
41 Goals Against 43
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
16 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 10
3.69 Shots On Goal 4.41
10.23 Total Shots 12.59
3.04 Corners 4.41
43.5% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 2 times, Libertad Asuncion won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:26 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1 / Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Luqueno wins 2, draws 2, Libertad Asuncion wins 11

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 17:13 4 28
W W D L L
2 14 8 3 3 22:10 12 27
D D W W W
3 14 8 3 3 23:16 7 27
D W L D W
4 14 7 5 2 21:8 13 26
W D D W W
5 14 7 3 4 24:14 10 24
D W W L W
6 14 5 7 2 16:12 4 22
D D W W D
7 14 6 2 6 18:14 4 20
W L L W D
8 14 4 6 4 15:16 -1 18
L L D D W
9 14 4 1 9 14:27 -13 13
L L L W L
10 14 3 4 7 15:24 -9 13
D W D L L
11 14 2 2 10 14:27 -13 8
L L D L L
12 14 0 4 10 5:23 -18 4
D D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)