Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
40.3%
|
3.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.82 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.8%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
-
|
13.00 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Luqueno
32 matches
Deportivo Recoleta
32 matches
| Sportivo Luqueno | Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 18 | Losses | 17 |
| 35 | Goals For | 48 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.81 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 10.66 | Total Shots | 10.28 |
| 3.47 | Corners | 3.56 |
| 43.8% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Recoleta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sportivo Luqueno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 10 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Bogado (1 goals), L. Morales (1 goals), A. Maíz (1 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (1 assists), L. Morales (1 assists), A. Maíz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 11 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Charpentier (2 goals), H. López (2 goals), W. Báez (1 goals), with creative support from W. Báez (2 assists), P. Charpentier (1 assists), A. González (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 4 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Home
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Away
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:18 | -15 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|