Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Luqueno
36 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
36 matches
| Sportivo Luqueno | Statistic | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 21 | Losses | 23 |
| 38 | Goals For | 19 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 19 |
| 3.94 | Shots On Goal | 1.81 |
| 11.03 | Total Shots | 7.36 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 2.97 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 26.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Sportivo Luqueno have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sportivo Luqueno arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 13 points compared to Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Sportivo Luqueno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 14:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Maggi (2 goals), G. Bogado (1 goals), Ó. Ruíz (1 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (2 assists), Ó. Ruíz (1 assists), A. Maíz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo are currently 12 in the standings with 4 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, while the 5:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Aragón (2 goals), J. Barrios (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 3 times, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 28 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 27 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 26 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 10 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Home
|
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 13 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:27 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Away
|
14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | -18 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|