Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
95.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
83.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Ameliano
19 matches
Deportivo Recoleta
19 matches
| Sportivo Ameliano | Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 29 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.68 |
| 11.05 | Total Shots | 10.58 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 3.68 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Ameliano expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Sportivo Ameliano come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 30 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 23:16 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Vera (8 goals), R. Cabral (3 goals), A. Falabella (2 goals), with creative support from R. Cabral (3 assists), A. Paredes (2 assists), E. Vera (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 8 with 25 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 29:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Wlk (10 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), J. Noguera (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Sportivo Ameliano
8
3
6
4
5
2
Lineups
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Home
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Away
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | -27 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|