PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ameliano Villeta
Referee: B. Romero
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Deportivo Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
W. Baez · Assist: J. Falcon
Deportivo Recoleta
35'
E. Vera · Assist: R. Cabral
Sportivo Ameliano
44'
C. Ocampos
Sportivo Ameliano
VAR
45+1'
Cristhian Ocampos
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
63'
R. Dominguez ↔ A. Franco
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
63'
J. Falcon ↔ B. Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
64'
Brahian Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
70'
S. Aranda ↔ L. Ayala
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
75'
D. Mosquera ↔ P. Rios
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
79'
V. Larralde ↔ E. Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
79'
C. Ocampos ↔ A. Avalos
Sportivo Ameliano
81'
A. Wlk · Assist: J. Noguera
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
82'
J. Espinola ↔ F. Galeano
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
82'
J. Noguera ↔ H. Lopez
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
84'
Juan Franco
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
86'
Raúl Cabral
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
89'
Estivel Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
90+1'
Elvio Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
90+2'
R. Cabral ↔ C. Favero
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
90+2'
E. Vera ↔ A. Contrera
Sportivo Ameliano
90'
J. Benitez · Assist: J. Gonzalez
Sportivo Ameliano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 95.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
95.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 59.5%
Draw 16.1%
Deportivo Recoleta Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.25
Deportivo Recoleta1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.53
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
11
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
11
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 19 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 19 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Statistic Deportivo Recoleta
7 Wins 7
9 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
23 Goals For 29
16 Goals Against 25
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
11 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.68
11.05 Total Shots 10.58
3.95 Corners 3.68
48.8% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Ameliano expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Recoleta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 30 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 23:16 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Vera (8 goals), R. Cabral (3 goals), A. Falabella (2 goals), with creative support from R. Cabral (3 assists), A. Paredes (2 assists), E. Vera (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Deportivo Recoleta sit 8 with 25 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 29:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Wlk (10 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), J. Noguera (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 1, draws 2, Deportivo Recoleta wins 3
Stats
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
426 Total passes 371
351 Passes accurate 273
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sportivo Ameliano
Formation
Deportivo Recoleta
M. Martinez
M. Martinez
F. Franco
F. Franco
J. Gonzalez
🎯
J. Gonzalez
A. Falabella
A. Falabella
A. Paredes
A. Paredes
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
S. Aranda
S. Aranda
V. Larralde
V. Larralde
R. Cabral
🎯
R. Cabral
E. Vera
E. Vera
C. Ocampos
C. Ocampos
N. Ferreira
N. Ferreira
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
N. Marotta
N. Marotta
L. Cardozo
L. Cardozo
D. Mosquera
D. Mosquera
J. Espinola
J. Espinola
J. Falcon
🎯
J. Falcon
R. Dominguez
R. Dominguez
J. Noguera
🎯
J. Noguera
W. Baez
W. Baez
A. Wlk
A. Wlk
Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
M. Martinez
G
21
F. Franco
D
26
J. Gonzalez
🎯 90'
D
22
A. Falabella
D
19
A. Paredes
D
6
J. Benitez
⚽ 90'
M
11
S. Aranda
↓ 70'
M
20
V. Larralde
↓ 79'
M
30
R. Cabral
🎯 35' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 86'
M
10
E. Vera
⚽ 35' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 90+1'
M
9
C. Ocampos
⚽ 44' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Sanchez
G
34
M. Benitez
D
27
M. Jacquet
D
8
E. Moreira
↑ 79' 🟨 89'
M
5
H. Benitez
D
24
L. Ayala
↑ 70'
M
18
A. Avalos
↑ 79'
17
C. Favero
↑ 90+2'
F
40
A. Contrera
↑ 90+2'
M
3
F. Baez
D
15
W. Rodriguez
M
38
F. Portillo
M
Deportivo Recoleta 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
N. Ferreira
G
2
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
D
5
N. Marotta
D
3
L. Cardozo
D
25
D. Mosquera
↓ 75'
D
6
J. Espinola
↓ 82'
M
37
J. Falcon
🎯 21' ↓ 63'
M
7
R. Dominguez
↓ 63'
M
10
J. Noguera
🎯 81' ↓ 82'
M
17
W. Baez
⚽ 21'
M
29
A. Wlk
⚽ 81'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Toledo
G
8
F. Galeano
↑ 82'
M
30
Jorge Nunez
M
38
A. Franco
↑ 63' 🟨 84'
M
32
L. Monzon
D
24
T. Vidal
F
19
H. Lopez
↑ 82'
M
16
C. Vera
M
14
C. Figueredo
D
36
B. Ferreira
↑ 63'
39
G. Guggiari
F
18
P. Rios
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
1
L
03.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
20.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
31.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
2
3
L
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
H2H: Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta
11.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
09.03.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
4
L
21.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
3
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
28.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
20.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
25.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
2
D
H2H at home: Sportivo Ameliano
11.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
29.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
4
L
10.05.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
15.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
2
3
L
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportivo Recoleta
11.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
L
29.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
4
W
10.05.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)