SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
19.04.2026 14:15
El Molinón
Referee: L. Bestard Servera
Sporting Gijon
Match Timeline
Cadiz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Mario Climent
Cadiz
🟨
13'
Juan Díaz
Cadiz
32'
J. Dubasin · Assist: J. Otero
Sporting Gijon
🟨
42'
Alex Corredera
Sporting Gijon
🔄
46'
A. Cordero ↔ B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🔄
46'
R. Marti ↔ L. Perez
Cadiz
49'
J. Otero · Assist: G. Campos
Sporting Gijon
🟨
53'
Youssouf Diarra
Cadiz
🔄
65'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ M. Rodriguez
Sporting Gijon
🔄
66'
M. Climent ↔ M. Diakite
Cadiz
🔄
66'
J. Diaz Peregrina ↔ D. Camara
Cadiz
🟨
67'
Bojan Kovačević
Cadiz
🔄
72'
A. Cuenca ↔ D. Sanchez
Sporting Gijon
77'
J. Dubasin · Assist: J. Otero
Sporting Gijon
🔄
78'
Suso ↔ A. Fernandez
Cadiz
🔄
81'
J. Otero ↔ A. Coundoul
Sporting Gijon
🔄
81'
G. Rosas ↔ E. Curbelo
Sporting Gijon
🔄
81'
J. Dubasin ↔ D. Queipo
Sporting Gijon
🟨
84'
Sergio Ortuño
Cadiz
VAR
84'
Sergio Ortuño
Cadiz
🟨
87'
Iker Recio
Cadiz

Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Gijon Win 68.8%
Draw 0%
Cadiz Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon1.32
Cadiz1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WWDLW
48 GF / 46 GA
Cadiz Cadiz
WLDWL
38 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
19
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
19
4.27
Shots on Goal
2.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 38 matches
Cadiz Cadiz 37 matches
Sporting Gijon Statistic Cadiz
16 Wins 11
7 Draws 8
15 Losses 18
48 Goals For 38
46 Goals Against 52
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
19 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 13
4.27 Shots On Goal 2.95
11.24 Total Shots 9.59
4.76 Corners 4.3
44.8% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting Gijon's more proactive style and Cadiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sporting Gijon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 49 points compared to Cadiz in 18 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cadiz.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

With 49 points from 35 games and a place of 10, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 45:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Dubasin (13 goals), J. Otero (11 goals), C. Gelabert Pina (7 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (10 assists), G. Rosas (6 assists), J. Dubasin (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Cadiz Analysis

With 38 points from 35 games and a place of 18, Cadiz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 33:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Tabatadze (6 goals), B. Ocampo (5 goals), Dawda Camara (5 goals), with creative support from A. Pascual (6 assists), S. Ortuno (4 assists), Mario Climent (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 4 times, Cadiz won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Gijon 4-2-3-1 / Cadiz 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting Gijon wins 4, draws 3, Cadiz wins 4

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz Away
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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