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23.08.2026 17:00
El Molinón
Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas, Spain
Sporting Gijon
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
J. Otero · Assist: A. Cuenca
Sporting Gijon
🟨
32'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🟨
53'
José Gragera
Burgos
🔄
61'
K. de la Fuente ↔ P. Garcia
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
M. Rodriguez ↔ N. Martin
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
J. Llabres ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🔄
62'
I. Vilarrasa ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
68'
J. Gragera ↔ M. Exposito
Burgos
🔄
68'
C. Sanchez ↔ S. Lencina
Burgos
🔄
73'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ G. Campos
Sporting Gijon
🔄
77'
S. del Cerro ↔ B. Martinez
Burgos
🔄
82'
N. Iosifov ↔ A. Sarco
Sporting Gijon
🔄
82'
J. Otero ↔ C. Ferreres
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Gijon Win 49.5%
Draw 12.7%
Burgos Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon1.4
Burgos1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 6 matches
Burgos Burgos 6 matches
Sporting Gijon Statistic Burgos
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 6
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5
8 Total Shots 13
1 Corners 1
56% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 5 times, Burgos won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Gijon 4-4-2 / Burgos 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sporting Gijon wins 5, draws 4, Burgos wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
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