23.08.2026 17:00
El Molinón
Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas, Spain
Sporting Gijon
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Otero · Assist: A. Cuenca
Sporting Gijon
🟨
32'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🟨
53'
José Gragera
Burgos
🔄
61'
K. de la Fuente ↔ P. Garcia
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
M. Rodriguez ↔ N. Martin
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
J. Llabres ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🔄
62'
I. Vilarrasa ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
68'
J. Gragera ↔ M. Exposito
Burgos
🔄
68'
C. Sanchez ↔ S. Lencina
Burgos
🔄
73'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ G. Campos
Sporting Gijon
🔄
77'
S. del Cerro ↔ B. Martinez
Burgos
🔄
82'
N. Iosifov ↔ A. Sarco
Sporting Gijon
🔄
82'
J. Otero ↔ C. Ferreres
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Gijon Win 49.5%
Draw 12.7%
Burgos Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon1.4
Burgos1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 6 matches
Burgos Burgos 6 matches
Sporting Gijon Statistic Burgos
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 6
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5
8 Total Shots 13
1 Corners 1
56% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 5 times, Burgos won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Gijon 4-4-2 / Burgos 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sporting Gijon wins 5, draws 4, Burgos wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 5 0 1 12:4 8 15
W W W W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:2 6 13
W W D W L
4 6 4 0 2 10:4 6 12
W W W L L
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
W W D D L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
W L W W D
7 6 3 2 1 6:5 1 11
W L D W W
8 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W L W W L
9 6 3 1 2 5:4 1 10
W L L W W
10 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
L W D L W
11 6 3 1 2 7:8 -1 10
L W D L W
12 6 2 2 2 8:7 1 8
L W D D W
13 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W D W L
14 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L D L W W
15 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L L W L W
16 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
W L L L W
17 6 1 2 3 4:8 -4 5
L W D L D
18 6 1 2 3 3:8 -5 5
D L W D L
19 6 0 3 3 6:9 -3 3
L L L D D
20 6 1 0 5 9:13 -4 3
L L L L L
21 6 0 1 5 4:10 -6 1
L D L L L
22 6 0 1 5 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation