Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Cristal
28 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
17 matches
| Sporting Cristal | Statistic | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 5 |
| 41 | Goals For | 21 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.74 | Shots On Goal | 4.18 |
| 14.56 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 3.41 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Garcilaso's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Garcilaso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 17 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 19 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:30 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through Felipe Vizeu (5 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (6 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), M. Castro (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 7 in the standings with 26 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Da Silva (6 goals), C. Olivares (5 goals), F. Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), F. Arancibia (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 5 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
Sporting Cristal
Home
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|