Leeds
Match Timeline
Newcastle
Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.3%
|
2.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.82 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.1%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 59.3%
Draw 8.9%
Newcastle Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds1.64
Newcastle1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
8
1
Over 2.5
7
3.33
Shots on Goal
2.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leeds
6 matches
Newcastle
10 matches
| Leeds | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 10 | Goals For | 16 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 10.67 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 41.3% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 2 times, Newcastle won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Leeds's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Leeds 3-5-2 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Leeds 2, Newcastle 4
H2H summary: Leeds wins 2, draws 5, Newcastle wins 4
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Leeds
Home
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Newcastle
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship