06.09.2026 16:00
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Referee: Edwin Ordonez, Peru
Sporting Cristal
Match Timeline
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Santiago González · Assist: Michael Hoyos
Sporting Cristal
🟨
32'
Christian Velarde
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
42'
Luis Iberico · Assist: Yoshimar Yotún
Sporting Cristal
🟨
44'
Agustín Álvarez
Sporting Cristal
🟨
48'
Ayrthon Quintana
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
60'
Oshiro Takeuchi ↔ Kenji Barrios
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
60'
Félix Espinoza ↔ Marlon Torres
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
64'
Yoshimar Yotún · Assist: Michael Hoyos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
65'
Michael Hoyos ↔ Hernán Barcos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
65'
Luis Iberico ↔ Juan Manuel Cuesta
Sporting Cristal
🔄
67'
Agustín Álvarez ↔ Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
75'
Yoshimar Yotún · Assist: Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
🔄
80'
Christian Velarde ↔ Kelvin Sanchez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
80'
David Martín Gonzáles García ↔ Abdiel Ayarza
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
80'
Ayrthon Quintana ↔ Brayan Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
84'
Juan Manuel Cuesta
Sporting Cristal
🔄
85'
Yoshimar Yotún ↔ Juan Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
85'
Maxloren Castro ↔ Luis Abram
Sporting Cristal
90+1'
Juan Manuel Cuesta · Assist: Cristiano
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
1.27
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.7%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 69.4%
Draw 5.3%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.49
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WWDLW
51 GF / 52 GA
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WLDWL
34 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
23
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
13
4.59
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 35 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic Club Deportivo Los Chankas
12 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
16 Losses 7
51 Goals For 34
52 Goals Against 37
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
23 BTTS Yes 13
29 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
4.59 Shots On Goal 4.71
13.79 Total Shots 12.88
5.41 Corners 4.17
56.2% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Club Deportivo Los Chankas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas having the stronger overall control.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal are currently 10 in the standings with 29 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 38:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (6 assists), Santiago González (3 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 3 with 41 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 34:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Quintero (5 goals), Franco Torres (3 goals), O. Takeuchi (2 goals), with creative support from Franco Torres (3 assists), A. Quintana (3 assists), J. Quintero (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 1 times, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1 / Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 1, draws 1, Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2