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14.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 69.7%
Draw 16%
Cienciano Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.59
Cienciano1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
D W W L W
14 GF / 8 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
L L W L W
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
29
BTTS Yes
21
28
Over 2.5
20
4.81
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 44 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 34 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic Cienciano
19 Wins 15
8 Draws 6
17 Losses 13
76 Goals For 55
62 Goals Against 47
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
29 BTTS Yes 21
37 Over 1.5 27
28 Over 2.5 20
19 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
4.81 Shots On Goal 5.45
14.42 Total Shots 16.12
5.72 Corners 5.48
55.2% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Sporting Cristal come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal are currently 6 in the standings with 50 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 62:47 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Iberico (8 goals), Y. Yotún (5 goals), S. González (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotún (11 assists), S. González (7 assists), M. Hoyos (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano are currently 7 in the standings with 50 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 53:44 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Garcés (9 goals), Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), M. Succar (4 goals), with creative support from C. Garcés (4 assists), C. Souza (4 assists), Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 6 times, Cienciano won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1 / Cienciano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 6, draws 3, Cienciano wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 54:24 30 69
D W L W W
2 33 17 10 6 59:39 20 61
D D W W W
3 33 16 9 8 56:38 18 57
W L D W W
4 33 16 7 10 50:35 15 55
D W L W L
5 33 15 6 12 63:48 15 51
D W W L W
6 33 16 3 14 46:47 -1 51
L L W W L
7 33 15 5 13 54:46 8 50
L L W L W
8 33 15 5 13 48:49 -1 50
W W L W W
9 33 14 7 12 49:48 1 49
L W W L L
10 33 13 9 11 40:52 -12 48
D D L L W
11 33 12 10 11 37:35 2 46
D D W W L
12 33 11 8 14 48:59 -11 41
L L W L W
13 33 8 13 12 44:47 -3 37
D D D W L
14 33 10 7 16 32:41 -9 37
W L L D L
15 33 7 11 15 36:48 -12 32
D D W D L
16 33 8 7 18 46:65 -19 31
W L L L L
17 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
D D L L W
18 33 5 9 19 38:58 -20 19
D L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2