Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Sporting CP
Tondela
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting CP
42 matches
Tondela
30 matches
| Sporting CP | Statistic | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 4 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 17 |
| 97 | Goals For | 21 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 2.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.7 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 6.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.43 |
| 16.45 | Total Shots | 10.53 |
| 6.43 | Corners | 4.03 |
| 58.6% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting CP's more proactive style and Tondela's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tondela. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Tondela arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Sporting CP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 72 points compared to Tondela in 17 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Operating from 3 place with 72 points from 30 games, Sporting CP bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 22 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 75:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on L. Suarez (24 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), Geny Catamo (6 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (6 assists), L. Suarez (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 21 points from 30 games and a place of 17, Tondela still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 21:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Pedro Henryque (6 goals), Bebeto (2 goals), I. Cavaleiro (2 goals), with creative support from Rony Lopes (2 assists), Pedro Henryque (1 assists), Brayan Medina (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 11 times, Tondela won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:10 from Sporting CP's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Sporting CP
5
2
6
6
5
1
Lineups
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
Tondela
Moreirense
Tondela
Casa Pia
Tondela
Nacional
Tondela
FC Porto
Tondela
GIL Vicente
Tondela
Guimaraes
Tondela
AVS
Tondela
Rio Ave
Tondela
Santa Clara
Tondela
Estrela
Tondela
Alverca
Tondela
Estoril
Tondela
Benfica
Tondela
Famalicao
Tondela
SC Braga
Tondela
Moreirense
Tondela
Arouca
Tondela
Casa Pia
Tondela
Nacional
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Club Brugge KV
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Marseille
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Kairat Almaty
Tondela
Arouca
Tondela
Casa Pia
Tondela
FC Porto
Tondela
Guimaraes
Tondela
Estrela
Tondela
Estoril
Tondela
Famalicao
Tondela
Moreirense
Tondela
Nacional
Tondela
GIL Vicente
Tondela
AVS
Tondela
Rio Ave
Tondela
Santa Clara
Tondela
Alverca
Tondela
Benfica
Tondela
SC Braga