Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.6%
|
- |
Sporting CP
Benfica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting CP
40 matches
Benfica
43 matches
| Sporting CP | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 26 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 95 | Goals For | 77 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 2.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 20 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.49 |
| 16.3 | Total Shots | 16.05 |
| 6.45 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Sporting CP come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Benfica.
Operating from 2 place with 71 points from 28 games, Sporting CP bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 22 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 73:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Suarez (24 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), Geny Catamo (6 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (6 assists), L. Suarez (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Benfica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 69 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 20 wins, 9 draws, and 0 losses, with a 61:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (5 goals), F. Ivanovic (4 goals), with creative support from V. Pavlidis (4 assists), A. Schjelderup (4 assists), G. Prestianni (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 5 times, Benfica won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Sporting CP's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Sporting CP
6
5
9
5
4
4
Lineups
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Arouca
Benfica
Estoril
Benfica
SC Braga
Benfica
Famalicao
Benfica
Moreirense
Benfica
Nacional
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
Guimaraes
Benfica
Arouca
Benfica
FC Porto
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
AVS
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Santa Clara
Benfica
Alverca
Benfica
Tondela
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Estrela
Benfica
Juventus
Benfica
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Club Brugge KV
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Marseille
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Kairat Almaty
Benfica
Estoril
Benfica
Famalicao
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
Arouca
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Santa Clara
Benfica
Tondela
Benfica
Juventus
Benfica
Rio Ave
Benfica
SC Braga
Benfica
Moreirense
Benfica
Nacional
Benfica
Ajax
Benfica
Guimaraes
Benfica
Newcastle
Benfica
FC Porto
Benfica
Chelsea
Benfica
AVS
Benfica
Alverca