PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
19.04.2026 17:15
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Sporting CP
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Francisco Trincão
Sporting CP
27'
A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
36'
Morten Hjulmand
Sporting CP
🟨
53'
Rui Silva
Sporting CP
🔄
60'
O. Diomande ↔ Z. Debast
Sporting CP
🔄
61'
E. Quaresma ↔ G. Vagiannidis
Sporting CP
🔄
68'
Pote ↔ G. Quenda
Sporting CP
72'
H. Morita · Assist: Z. Debast
Sporting CP
🟨
75'
Anatoliy Trubin
Benfica
🔄
77'
F. Ivanovic ↔ V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
78'
A. Schjelderup ↔ Rafa Silva
Benfica
🔄
78'
G. Prestianni ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
78'
T. Araujo ↔ A. Silva
Benfica
🔄
88'
H. Morita ↔ D. Braganca
Sporting CP
🔄
88'
G. Catamo ↔ R. Nel
Sporting CP
🔄
90+4'
L. Barreiro ↔ E. Barrenechea
Benfica
90'
Rafa Silva · Assist: L. Barreiro
Benfica

Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 49.8%
Draw 15.1%
Benfica Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP1.74
Benfica1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WWDLW
95 GF / 32 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
77 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.79
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
21
BTTS Yes
18
28
Over 2.5
23
6.33
Shots on Goal
5.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP Sporting CP 40 matches
Benfica Benfica 43 matches
Sporting CP Statistic Benfica
28 Wins 26
7 Draws 10
5 Losses 7
95 Goals For 77
32 Goals Against 33
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
21 BTTS Yes 18
35 Over 1.5 34
28 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 9
17 Clean Sheets 20
3 Failed To Score 8
6.33 Shots On Goal 5.49
16.3 Total Shots 16.05
6.45 Corners 6.56
58.2% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Sporting CP come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Benfica.

Sporting CP Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 71 points from 28 games, Sporting CP bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 22 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 73:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Suarez (24 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), Geny Catamo (6 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (6 assists), L. Suarez (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Benfica Analysis

Benfica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 69 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 20 wins, 9 draws, and 0 losses, with a 61:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (5 goals), F. Ivanovic (4 goals), with creative support from V. Pavlidis (4 assists), A. Schjelderup (4 assists), G. Prestianni (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 5 times, Benfica won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Sporting CP's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 5, draws 6, Benfica wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2