Sport Recife vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
23 matches
America Mineiro
23 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 2 |
| 11 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 16 |
| 29 | Goals For | 16 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.7 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 13.57 | Total Shots | 12.22 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 5.22 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sport Recife's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America Mineiro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sport Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 35 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Sport Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 35 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, while the 28:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Perotti (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 11 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 3 times, America Mineiro won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Sport Recife's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 41 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Away
|
25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16:52 | -36 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|