PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
23.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: J. Alarcon
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Cienciano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Marcos Martinich
Cienciano
🟨
-5'
Marcos Martinich
Cienciano
🟥
-5'
Marcos Martinich
Cienciano
14'
C. Garces
Cienciano
22'
P. Erustes · Assist: L. Urruti
Sport Boys
🟨
23'
Hernan Da Campo
Sport Boys
31'
P. Erustes · Assist: C. Cueva
Sport Boys
45'
P. Erustes
Sport Boys
🔄
46'
S. Cavero ↔ K. Becerra
Cienciano
🔄
46'
A. Yovera ↔ C. Nunez
Cienciano
🔄
46'
C. Cabello ↔ G. Barreto
Cienciano
56'
P. Erustes · Assist: M. Llontop
Sport Boys
🔄
59'
C. Cueva ↔ Y. Celi
Sport Boys
🔄
64'
J. Alarcon ↔ M. Trauco
Sport Boys
🔄
64'
N. Da Campo ↔ E. Gonzales
Sport Boys
65'
Y. Celi · Assist: M. Trauco
Sport Boys
🔄
68'
R. Sandoval ↔ H. Caparo
Cienciano
🔄
68'
A. Hohberg ↔ D. La Torre
Cienciano
🔄
72'
O. Mora ↔ F. Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
72'
P. Erustes ↔ R. Diaz
Sport Boys
🟨
88'
Emilio Saba
Sport Boys

Sport Boys vs Cienciano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 52.2%
Draw 8.4%
Cienciano Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.08
Cienciano1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
WLDWL
38 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
9
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
13
4.14
Shots on Goal
5.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 24 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 23 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Cienciano
8 Wins 11
7 Draws 5
9 Losses 7
23 Goals For 38
25 Goals Against 29
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
9 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
4.14 Shots On Goal 5.59
13.45 Total Shots 15.27
4.91 Corners 5.18
50.4% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Cienciano's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cienciano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. Cienciano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys sit 9 with 27 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 19:21 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Hansell Riojas (2 goals), Luis Urruti (1 goals), with creative support from Jostin Alarcón (2 assists), Luciano Nequecaur (1 assists), Luis Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano sit 3 with 36 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 37:28, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (3 goals), Matías Succar (3 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Cristian Souza (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 6 times, Cienciano won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:25 from Sport Boys's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-3-3 / Cienciano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 6, draws 3, Cienciano wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 24 11 6 7 40:28 12 39
L D W L D
6 24 12 3 9 36:36 0 39
W L W L W
7 24 11 4 9 39:35 4 37
L L D L W
8 24 9 7 8 34:29 5 34
W W D W L
9 24 9 7 8 26:23 3 34
W W D D W
10 24 8 5 11 38:38 0 29
L L W D W
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 8 5 11 20:23 -3 29
W W W D L
13 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
14 24 7 5 12 31:41 -10 26
W L L D W
15 24 6 7 11 23:33 -10 25
L W D L D
16 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
17 24 5 7 12 27:36 -9 22
L L D D L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2