BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Spartak
Referee: L. Lyubomirov
Spartak Varna
Match Timeline
Dobrudzha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Di Mateo Lovrić
Dobrudzha
33'
Xande · Assist: A. Granchov
Spartak Varna
🟨
40'
Diogo Ressurreição
Dobrudzha
🔄
46'
D. Ressurreicao ↔ A. Ramadan
Dobrudzha
🟨
64'
Jota Lopes
Spartak Varna
🔄
66'
Matheus Leoni ↔ A. Ivanov
Dobrudzha
🔄
66'
I. Mihaylov ↔ Valdumar
Dobrudzha
🔄
66'
D. Lovric ↔ D. Madaleno
Dobrudzha
🔄
73'
Jota Lopes ↔ E. John
Spartak Varna
🟨
75'
Jhonatan Cuero
Dobrudzha
🟨
77'
Tomás Silva
Dobrudzha
🟨
81'
Diogo Madaleno
Dobrudzha
🔄
83'
T. Chunchukov ↔ S. Moukachar
Spartak Varna
🔄
84'
T. Marinov ↔ Tailson
Spartak Varna
🔄
85'
B. Kostov ↔ G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
🟨
87'
Pedro Victor
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+4'
Xande ↔ M. Juric-Petrasilo
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+4'
D. Yordanov ↔ M. Georgiev
Spartak Varna
90'
A. Ramadan
Dobrudzha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
58.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 82.6%
Draw 11.6%
Dobrudzha Win 5.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna1.09
Dobrudzha1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WWDLW
27 GF / 54 GA
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
WLDWL
23 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.72
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
18
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
14
1.93
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 32 matches
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 32 matches
Spartak Varna Statistic Dobrudzha
5 Wins 7
12 Draws 5
15 Losses 20
27 Goals For 23
54 Goals Against 47
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.72
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
18 BTTS Yes 11
24 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 17
1.93 Shots On Goal 2.67
6.5 Total Shots 7.6
2.47 Corners 3.33
30.5% Ball Possession 34.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dobrudzha. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spartak Varna expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dobrudzha in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dobrudzha having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Spartak Varna Analysis

With 27 points from 32 games and a place of 14, Spartak Varna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats with a 27:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dobrudzha Analysis

With 26 points from 32 games and a place of 15, Dobrudzha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 23:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ivaylo Mihaylov (7 goals), L. Cardoso (4 goals), T. Costa Silva (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ramadan (4 assists), Matheus Leoni (3 assists), T. Costa Silva (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 6 times, Dobrudzha won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Dobrudzha 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 6, draws 2, Dobrudzha wins 3

Lineups

Spartak Varna
Formation
Dobrudzha
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
D. Lozev
D. Lozev
A. Granchov
🎯
A. Granchov
D. Krastev
D. Krastev
B. Ivanov
B. Ivanov
T. Marinov
T. Marinov
D. Yordanov
D. Yordanov
Jota Lopes
Jota Lopes
G. Stojanovski
G. Stojanovski
Xande
Xande
T. Chunchukov
T. Chunchukov
G. Grigorov
G. Grigorov
B. Kostov
B. Kostov
J. Hurtado
J. Hurtado
V. Oliveira
V. Oliveira
V. Kerchev
V. Kerchev
B. Hanne
B. Hanne
D. Lovric
D. Lovric
D. Ressurreicao
D. Ressurreicao
Matheus Leoni
Matheus Leoni
T. Costa Silva
T. Costa Silva
I. Mihaylov
I. Mihaylov
Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Ribeiro
🟨 87'
G
20
D. Lozev
D
44
A. Granchov
🎯 33'
D
5
D. Krastev
D
2
B. Ivanov
D
17
T. Marinov
↓ 84'
M
88
D. Yordanov
↓ 90+4'
M
10
Jota Lopes
↓ 73' 🟨 64'
M
90
G. Stojanovski
F
21
Xande
⚽ 33' ↓ 90+4'
9
T. Chunchukov
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Kovalyov
G
3
M. Juric-Petrasilo
↑ 90+4'
6
E. John
↑ 73'
M
7
P. Prindzhev
F
8
D. Ivanov
M
18
S. Moukachar
↑ 83'
M
29
Tailson
↑ 84'
M
39
K. Kurbanov
D
50
M. Georgiev
↑ 90+4'
Dobrudzha 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
13
G. Grigorov
G
15
B. Kostov
↓ 85'
D
22
J. Hurtado
🟨 75'
D
72
V. Oliveira
D
37
V. Kerchev
D
11
B. Hanne
F
35
D. Lovric
↓ 66' 🟨 16'
M
82
D. Ressurreicao
↓ 46' 🟨 40'
M
77
Matheus Leoni
↓ 66'
10
T. Costa Silva
🟨 77'
M
98
I. Mihaylov
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
69
P. Pepelyashev
3
D. Pirgov
D
7
A. Ivanov
↑ 66'
F
9
Valdumar
↑ 66'
20
A. Ramadan
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
M
45
D. Hasan
D
70
K. Stanev
M
88
D. Madaleno
↑ 66' 🟨 81'
M
99
G. Trifonov
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Spartak Varna
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
Last matches: Dobrudzha
22.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
01.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
27.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
14.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
0
3
L
10.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
05.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
22.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
1
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
08.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Alashkert
0
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Ružomberok
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Bunyodkor
0
1
L
H2H: Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
06.05.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
10.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
2
0
L
22.06.24
H2H
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
W
12.04.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
28.09.23
H2H
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
2
0
L
08.07.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
W
18.01.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
W
13.03.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
2
L
28.08.21
H2H
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
07.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
29.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
0
4
L
07.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
1
4
L
24.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
3
0
W
30.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
1
3
L
01.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
21.07.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
H2H at home: Spartak Varna
06.05.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
10.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
12.04.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
W
18.01.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
W
13.03.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
2
L
Last matches: Dobrudzha
22.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
13.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
27.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
10.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
16.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Ružomberok
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Bunyodkor
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
1
0
W
08.12.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
30.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
07.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.10.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
0
3
L
29.09.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
15.09.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
29.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
18.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
02.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Ludogorets
1
2
L
H2H away: Dobrudzha
06.05.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
10.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
L
12.04.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
2
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
L
18.01.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
4
1
L
13.03.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
2
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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