Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.1%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.3%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.66 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
10.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
19.00 |
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
15 matches
CSKA Sofia
23 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 42 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.73 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 1.18 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 14.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around CSKA Sofia's more proactive style and Spartak Varna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CSKA Sofia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spartak Varna expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. CSKA Sofia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. CSKA Sofia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Spartak Varna sit 9 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Spartak Varna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 7 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
CSKA Sofia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 13 points after 5 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:3, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 1 times, CSKA Sofia won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:19 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 25 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
CSKA Sofia
Away
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 24 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
L
L
D
L
|