CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
30.08.2026 18:00
epet ARENA
Referee: Jan Machalek, Czechia
Sparta Praha
Match Timeline
Slavia Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Wiktor Nowak
Slavia Praha
🟨
38'
Josimar Alcócer
Sparta Praha
🟨
40'
Michal Sadílek
Slavia Praha
🔄
46'
Wiktor Nowak ↔ David Moses
Slavia Praha
🟨
58'
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
59'
Danijel Šturm · Assist: David Moses
Slavia Praha
🔄
62'
Adonija Ouanda ↔ Tomáš Chorý
Slavia Praha
🔄
62'
Tomáš Vlček ↔ Samuel Isife
Slavia Praha
🔄
65'
Josimar Alcócer ↔ Ebrima Singhateh
Sparta Praha
🔄
65'
Martin Suchomel ↔ Jaroslav Zelený
Sparta Praha
🔄
70'
Santiago Eneme ↔ Andy Irving
Sparta Praha
🔄
71'
Danijel Šturm ↔ Ivan Schranz
Slavia Praha
🔄
76'
Adam Karabec ↔ Matěj Jurásek
Sparta Praha
🔄
80'
Štěpán Chaloupek ↔ Ange N'Guessan
Slavia Praha
90+2'
Emmanuel Ayaosi · Assist: Michal Sadílek
Slavia Praha
🟨
90+4'
Tomáš Chorý
Slavia Praha

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds 2.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
2.74
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.76
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 64.3%
Draw 3.7%
Slavia Praha Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.68
Slavia Praha1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
28 GF / 22 GA
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
WLDWL
29 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
7
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
9
5.14
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 14 matches
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 14 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic Slavia Praha
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 5
6 Losses 3
28 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 17
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
7 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
5.14 Shots On Goal 6
13.29 Total Shots 19.4
5.71 Corners 6
59.6% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Praha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Praha expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Slavia Praha in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slavia Praha having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 9 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by John Mercado (1 goals), Adam Karabec (1 goals), Andy Irving (1 goals), with creative support from Martin Suchomel (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Slavia Praha Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 11 points from 5 games, Slavia Praha bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 14:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Mojmír Chytil (4 goals), Wiktor Nowak (3 goals), Michal Sadílek (1 goals), with creative support from Michal Sadílek (2 assists), Wiktor Nowak (1 assists), Mubarak Suleiman (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 5 times, Slavia Praha won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 5, draws 5, Slavia Praha wins 5

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10 9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs