CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
12.09.2026 16:00
epet ARENA
Referee: S. Volek
Sparta Praha
Match Timeline
FK Jablonec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
6'
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
🟨
8'
Martin Suchomel
Sparta Praha
19'
Josimar Alcocer · Assist: Jonatan Braut Brunes
Sparta Praha
🟨
40'
Nelson Okeke
FK Jablonec
🔄
45'
Lamin Jawo ↔ Antonín Růsek
FK Jablonec
🔄
45'
Matej Polidar ↔ Saidou Alioum Moubarak
FK Jablonec
🔄
45'
Nelson Okeke ↔ Sebastian·Nebyla
FK Jablonec
56'
John Mercado · Assist: Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
🟨
61'
Josimar Alcocer
Sparta Praha
🟨
62'
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
FK Jablonec
🔄
63'
Hugo Sochurek ↔ Santiago Eneme
Sparta Praha
🔄
71'
Richard Sedláček ↔ Daniel Soucek
FK Jablonec
🔄
72'
Josimar Alcocer ↔ Ebrima Singhateh
Sparta Praha
🔄
72'
John Mercado ↔ Matej Jurasek
Sparta Praha
🔄
79'
Martin Suchomel ↔ Pavel Kadeřábek
Sparta Praha
🔄
79'
Jonatan Braut Brunes ↔ Matyáš Vojta
Sparta Praha
🔄
79'
Filip Zorvan ↔ Filip Vecheta
FK Jablonec

Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
1.60
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 56.8%
Draw 9.3%
FK Jablonec Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.44
FK Jablonec1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
29 GF / 27 GA
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WLDWL
45 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
8
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
11
5.22
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 16 matches
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 25 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic FK Jablonec
7 Wins 15
1 Draws 5
8 Losses 5
29 Goals For 45
27 Goals Against 22
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 4
5.22 Shots On Goal 3.38
14 Total Shots 9.77
6.67 Corners 3.85
62% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Jablonec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Sparta Praha Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Sparta Praha have collected 9 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Mercado (1 goals), Adam Karabec (1 goals), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 goals), with creative support from Martin Suchomel (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FK Jablonec Analysis

From their first 5 matches, FK Jablonec have collected 10 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Chramosta (1 goals), M. Cedidla (1 goals), with creative support from J. Chramosta (1 assists), J. Suchan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 9 times, FK Jablonec won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:16 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1 / FK Jablonec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 9, draws 4, FK Jablonec wins 2

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 23:5 18 20
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
W W L W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:8 2 13
L W L D L
9 8 4 0 4 15:12 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 2 4 2 16:15 1 10
L D W D W
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 8 0 0 8 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs