CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
18.04.2026 16:00
epet ARENA
Referee: M. Radina
Sparta Praha
Match Timeline
FK Jablonec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
J. Kuchta · Assist: A. Sorensen
Sparta Praha
24'
S. Nebyla · Assist: A. Alegue
FK Jablonec
37'
L. Haraslin · Assist: K. Kairinen
Sparta Praha
🔄
46'
L. Jawo ↔ D. Puskac
FK Jablonec
🔄
57'
N. Okeke ↔ F. Zorvan
FK Jablonec
🔄
57'
V. Chanturishvili ↔ M. Cedidla
FK Jablonec
62'
J. Kuchta · Assist: J. Grimaldo
Sparta Praha
🔄
64'
S. Eneme ↔ S. Mannsverk
Sparta Praha
🔄
73'
J. Grimaldo ↔ G. Kuol
Sparta Praha
🔄
73'
J. Zeleny ↔ M. Rynes
Sparta Praha
🔄
73'
S. Nebyla ↔ S. Obinaya
FK Jablonec
🔄
79'
A. Alegue ↔ E. Singhateh
FK Jablonec
🔄
80'
O. Sonne ↔ P. Kaderabek
Sparta Praha
🔄
80'
J. Kuchta ↔ A. Rrahmani
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 64.8%
Draw 4.9%
FK Jablonec Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.56
FK Jablonec1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
81 GF / 44 GA
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WLDWL
39 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1
23
BTTS Yes
10
27
Over 2.5
9
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 42 matches
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 28 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic FK Jablonec
26 Wins 15
7 Draws 6
9 Losses 7
81 Goals For 39
44 Goals Against 28
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1
23 BTTS Yes 10
33 Over 1.5 20
27 Over 2.5 9
14 Over 3.5 5
16 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 6
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.11
12.48 Total Shots 11.61
5.33 Corners 5.14
54% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Jablonec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sparta Praha come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Praha expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FK Jablonec in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Jablonec having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 60 points from 28 games, Sparta Praha bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 57:30 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on L. Haraslin (11 goals), A. Rrahmani (9 goals), J. Kuchta (8 goals), with creative support from L. Haraslin (5 assists), P. Vydra (5 assists), J. Kuchta (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FK Jablonec Analysis

With 51 points from 28 games and a place of 3, FK Jablonec still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 39:28, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Chramosta (9 goals), L. Jawo (9 goals), Dominik Hollý (3 goals), with creative support from A. Alegue (6 assists), L. Jawo (3 assists), Sebastian Nebyla (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 9 times, FK Jablonec won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:16 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-3-3 / FK Jablonec 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 9, draws 4, FK Jablonec wins 2

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification