GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
18.04.2026 17:00
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Rustavi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
P. Osei · Assist: S. Kessi
Rustavi
🟨
31'
L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
🟨
38'
K. Ceijas
Rustavi
51'
N. Kentchadze · Assist: G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
🔄
58'
A. Gujabidze ↔ M. Pami
Rustavi
🔄
58'
K. Ceijas ↔ D. Ubilava
Rustavi
🔄
70'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🔄
74'
S. Kessi ↔ N. Kutateladze
Rustavi
🔄
74'
Jean ↔ B. Jibril
Rustavi
🟨
83'
G. Tsirdava
Spaeri
🔄
85'
G. Tsirdava ↔ P. Poniava
Spaeri
🔄
85'
L. Kokhreidze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
88'
Y. Nakano ↔ Jackson Kenio
Rustavi
🟨
90'
N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🟨
90+3'
N. Kentchadze
Spaeri

Spaeri vs Rustavi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 31%
Draw 15.5%
Rustavi Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.64
Rustavi1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
21 GF / 15 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
17 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 11 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 13 matches
Spaeri Statistic Rustavi
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
21 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 16
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rustavi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Spaeri Analysis

Placed 2 with 10 points from 6 outings, Spaeri continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (2 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), G. Tsirdava (1 assists), N. Chagunava (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jean (4 goals), A. Gujabidze (1 goals), I. Iakobidze (1 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), D. Ubilava (1 assists), K. Ceijas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 4 times, Rustavi won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Spaeri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 4, draws 3, Rustavi wins 6

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 12 6 5 30:19 11 42
D W W W L
2 22 10 7 5 35:26 9 37
W L W W W
3 23 10 7 6 38:32 6 37
W W W D L
4 21 10 4 7 30:24 6 34
L L W L D
5 23 9 5 9 32:41 -9 32
D W L W D
6 23 8 7 8 36:27 9 31
L D W L D
7 22 9 3 10 27:24 3 30
L D W W W
8 23 6 9 8 23:30 -7 27
W L D D D
9 23 5 8 10 30:35 -5 23
L L D L D
10 23 2 8 13 17:40 -23 14
W L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2