Spaeri vs Gagra Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Spaeri
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spaeri
16 matches
Gagra
16 matches
| Spaeri | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 24 | Goals For | 17 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gagra. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Spaeri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 12 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (3 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from G. Tsirdava (2 assists), G. Samkharadze (1 assists), L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gagra sit 9 with 10 points after 11 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 10:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 3 times, Gagra won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Spaeri's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Gagra
Away
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 9 |
Spaeri
Home
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|