GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: B. Kunchulia
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
M. Tsintsadze
Gagra
🟨
15'
G. Pipia
Gagra
🟨
26'
G. Bunturi
Spaeri
44'
G. Bunturi · Assist: G. Tsirdava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
R. Adeyeye ↔ G. Darsania
Gagra
🔄
46'
A. Peikrishvili ↔ Wanderson
Gagra
🔄
46'
G. Sadghobelashvili ↔ Claudinei
Gagra
🟨
52'
P. Poniava
Spaeri
🔄
61'
M. Tsintsadze ↔ D. Mujiri
Gagra
🔄
67'
L. Kokhreidze ↔ G. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
72'
G. Tsetskhladze · Assist: S. Gegiadze
Spaeri
🔄
73'
P. Poniava ↔ G. Pirtakhia
Spaeri
🔄
80'
G. Pipia ↔ I. Katsiashvili
Gagra
🔄
90+3'
S. Gegiadze ↔ L. Kachibaia
Spaeri
🔄
90+3'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
90'
G. Samkharadze
Spaeri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 45.8%
Draw 16.7%
Gagra Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.52
Gagra1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
24 GF / 22 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 16 matches
Gagra Gagra 16 matches
Spaeri Statistic Gagra
5 Wins 3
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
24 Goals For 17
22 Goals Against 25
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
11 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gagra. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 12 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (3 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from G. Tsirdava (2 assists), G. Samkharadze (1 assists), L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra sit 9 with 10 points after 11 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 10:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 3 times, Gagra won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Spaeri's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 3, draws 1, Gagra wins 1

Lineups

Spaeri
Formation
Gagra
B. Putkaradze
B. Putkaradze
S. Mathenjwa
S. Mathenjwa
N. Kentchadze
N. Kentchadze
G. Bunturi
G. Bunturi
G. Samkharadze
G. Samkharadze
T. Tsetskhladze
T. Tsetskhladze
T. Askurava
T. Askurava
G. Tsirdava
🎯
G. Tsirdava
P. Poniava
P. Poniava
S. Gegiadze
🎯
S. Gegiadze
L. Kokhreidze
L. Kokhreidze
O. Vorobey
O. Vorobey
G. Sadghobelashvili
G. Sadghobelashvili
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Augusto
Augusto
S. Zoidze
S. Zoidze
I. Skrypnyk
I. Skrypnyk
A. Peikrishvili
A. Peikrishvili
M. Tsintsadze
M. Tsintsadze
R. Adeyeye
R. Adeyeye
G. Pipia
G. Pipia
A. Andreychuk
A. Andreychuk
Spaeri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Putkaradze
13
S. Mathenjwa
↓ 90+3'
20
N. Kentchadze
31
G. Bunturi
⚽ 44' 🟨 26'
14
G. Samkharadze
⚽ 90'
10
T. Tsetskhladze
6
T. Askurava
19
G. Tsirdava
🎯 44'
11
P. Poniava
↓ 73' 🟨 52'
7
S. Gegiadze
🎯 72' ↓ 90+3'
17
L. Kokhreidze
↓ 67'
Substitutes
23
N. Chomakhidze
2
G. Pirtakhia
↑ 73'
3
L. Kachibaia
↑ 90+3'
4
G. Grigalashvili
9
G. Tsetskhladze
⚽ 72' ↑ 67'
21
O. Gordeziani
22
N. Chagunava
↑ 90+3'
24
Z. Golubiani
30
Z. Basilashvili
Gagra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Vorobey
22
G. Sadghobelashvili
↓ 46'
14
Z. Tchavtchanidze
2
Augusto
11
S. Zoidze
8
I. Skrypnyk
21
A. Peikrishvili
↓ 46'
6
M. Tsintsadze
↓ 61' 🟨 9'
29
R. Adeyeye
↓ 46'
17
G. Pipia
↓ 80' 🟨 15'
23
A. Andreychuk
Substitutes
12
G. Barbakadze
3
O. Chochia
4
V. Arsic
9
D. Mujiri
↑ 61'
13
L. Gobejishvili
19
I. Katsiashvili
↑ 80'
20
G. Darsania
↑ 46'
25
Wanderson
↑ 46'
40
Claudinei
↑ 46'
Last matches: Spaeri
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Saburtalo
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
15.07.26
Fri
Gagra
BKMA
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
H2H: Spaeri vs Gagra
11.05.26
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
11.03.26
H2H
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
W
05.11.24
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
2
2
D
12.12.22
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
1
W
08.12.22
H2H
Gagra
Spaeri
2
0
L
Last matches: Spaeri
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Spaeri
Austria Vienna
0
5
L
H2H at home: Spaeri
11.05.26
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
05.11.24
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
2
2
D
12.12.22
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
11.05.26
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
L
05.11.24
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
2
2
D
12.12.22
H2H
Spaeri
Gagra
3
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9
Gagra Away
19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2