ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: O. Langford
Southampton
Match Timeline
QPR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
F. Azaz · Assist: R. Manning
Southampton
🟨
16'
Caspar Jander
Southampton
🔄
31'
N. Madsen ↔ K. Morgan
QPR
45'
K. Matsuki · Assist: L. Scienza
Southampton
🔄
46'
R. Kolli ↔ D. Bennie
QPR
50'
K. Matsuki
Southampton
59'
L. Scienza · Assist: F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
60'
H. Vale ↔ K. Adamson
QPR
🔄
61'
R. Norrington-Davies ↔ Esquerdinha
QPR
🔄
67'
R. Kone ↔ J. Varane
QPR
🔄
68'
C. Larin ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
🔄
68'
F. Azaz ↔ R. Stewart
Southampton
70'
J. Bree
Southampton
🔄
75'
K. Matsuki ↔ T. Fellows
Southampton
🔄
75'
L. Scienza ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
82'
F. Downes ↔ S. Charles
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
QPR Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.5
QPR1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
54 GF / 48 GA
QPR QPR
WLDWL
47 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
26
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
22
5.2
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 35 matches
QPR QPR 34 matches
Southampton Statistic QPR
14 Wins 13
11 Draws 8
10 Losses 13
54 Goals For 47
48 Goals Against 49
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
26 BTTS Yes 24
30 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
5.2 Shots On Goal 4
14.4 Total Shots 12.91
5.63 Corners 4.91
56.7% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 7 times, QPR won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:6 from Southampton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-4-2 / QPR -
H2H summary: Southampton wins 7, draws 0, QPR wins 1
Stats
Southampton Southampton
QPR QPR
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
558 Total passes 409
492 Passes accurate 334
1.56 expected_goals 0.26
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Southampton
J. Walsh
J. Walsh
A. S. Mbengue
A. S. Mbengue
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
H. Vale
H. Vale
I. Hayden
I. Hayden
N. Madsen
N. Madsen
K. Saito
K. Saito
R. Kone
R. Kone
R. Kolli
R. Kolli
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
J. Bree
J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
R. Manning
🎯
R. Manning
F. Downes
F. Downes
C. Jander
C. Jander
K. Matsuki
⚽ 2
K. Matsuki
F. Azaz
🎯
F. Azaz
L. Scienza
🎯
L. Scienza
C. Larin
C. Larin
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Walsh
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
D
3
J. Dunne
D
37
R. Edwards
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
↓ 61'
D
20
H. Vale
↓ 60'
M
15
I. Hayden
M
24
N. Madsen
↓ 31'
M
14
K. Saito
M
22
R. Kone
↓ 67'
F
26
R. Kolli
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
2
K. Adamson
↑ 60'
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
30
T. Smith
D
28
Esquerdinha
↑ 61'
D
21
K. Morgan
↑ 31'
D
48
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
M
40
J. Varane
↑ 67'
M
23
D. Bennie
↑ 46'
F
Southampton 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
41
D. Peretz
G
14
J. Bree
⚽ 70'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
5
J. Stephens
D
3
R. Manning
🎯 9'
D
4
F. Downes
↓ 82'
M
20
C. Jander
🟨 16'
M
27
K. Matsuki
⚽ 45' ⚽ 50' ↓ 75'
M
10
F. Azaz
⚽ 9' 🎯 59' ↓ 68'
M
13
L. Scienza
⚽ 59' 🎯 45' ↓ 75'
M
9
C. Larin
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Long
G
38
E. Jelert
D
15
N. Wood
D
24
S. Charles
↑ 82'
M
48
C. Bragg
M
18
T. Fellows
↑ 75'
M
23
S. Edozie
↑ 75'
M
19
C. Archer
↑ 68'
F
11
R. Stewart
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
H2H: Southampton vs QPR
24.02.26
H2H
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
05.11.25
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
2
W
23.12.23
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
W
07.02.15
H2H
QPR
Southampton
0
1
W
27.09.14
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
W
02.03.13
H2H
Southampton
QPR
1
2
L
17.11.12
H2H
QPR
Southampton
1
3
W
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Preston
0
2
L
H2H at home: Southampton
24.02.26
H2H
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
W
27.09.14
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
W
02.03.13
H2H
Southampton
QPR
1
2
L
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
06.02.26
Cha
QPR
Charlton
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
QPR
Oxford United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Cha
QPR
Stoke City
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
QPR
West Ham
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
29.11.25
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
H2H away: QPR
24.02.26
H2H
Southampton
QPR
5
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
L
27.09.14
H2H
Southampton
QPR
2
1
L
02.03.13
H2H
Southampton
QPR
1
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Away
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation