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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
FT
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: Farai Hallam, England
Southampton
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Alfie Jones
Middlesbrough
🟨
50'
Tommy Conway
Middlesbrough
🟨
51'
David Strelec
Middlesbrough
🟨
54'
Adam Armstrong
Southampton
⚽
61'
A. Armstrong
Southampton
🔄
62'
M. Whittaker ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
63'
C. Brittain ↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
64'
F. Azaz ↔ L. Scienza
Southampton
🔄
71'
T. Fellows ↔ R. Fraser
Southampton
🔄
72'
A. Morris ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
🔄
72'
D. Strelec ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
72'
T. Conway ↔ S. Hansen
Middlesbrough
⚽
77'
M. K. Sene · Assist: L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
86'
R. Manning ↔ E. Jelert
Southampton
🔄
86'
R. Stewart ↔ J. Robinson
Southampton
🟨
87'
Hayden Hackney
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+3'
Sverre Nypan
Middlesbrough
🟨
90'
Matt Targett
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton0.97
Middlesbrough1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
7 GF / 9 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 6 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 6 matches
Southampton Statistic Middlesbrough
1 Wins 5
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
7 Goals For 11
9 Goals Against 4
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.17
15.17 Total Shots 11.17
6.17 Corners 5.17
61% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 4 times, Middlesbrough won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Southampton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 4, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 3
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
509 Total passes 411
445 Passes accurate 352
0.85 expected_goals 0.29
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Southampton
Formation
Middlesbrough
A. McCarthy
A. McCarthy
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
N. Wood
N. Wood
J. Quarshie
J. Quarshie
R. Manning
↓
R. Manning
C. Jander
C. Jander
S. Charles
S. Charles
T. Fellows
↓
T. Fellows
F. Azaz
↓
F. Azaz
A. Armstrong
⚽
A. Armstrong
R. Stewart
↓
R. Stewart
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
L. Ayling
🎯
L. Ayling
G. Edmundson
G. Edmundson
A. Jones
A. Jones
C. Brittain
↓
C. Brittain
A. Morris
↓
A. Morris
H. Hackney
H. Hackney
M. Targett
M. Targett
M. Whittaker
↓
M. Whittaker
T. Conway
↓
T. Conway
D. Strelec
↓
D. Strelec
Southampton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. McCarthy
G
12
R. Edwards
D
15
N. Wood
D
17
J. Quarshie
D
3
R. Manning
↓ 86'
D
20
C. Jander
M
24
S. Charles
M
18
T. Fellows
↓ 71'
M
10
F. Azaz
↓ 64'
M
9
A. Armstrong
⚽ 61' 🟨 54'
M
11
R. Stewart
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
31
G. Bazunu
G
4
F. Downes
M
5
J. Stephens
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
13
L. Scienza
↑ 64'
M
19
C. Archer
F
26
R. Fraser
↑ 71'
M
38
E. Jelert
↑ 86'
D
46
J. Robinson
↑ 86'
F
Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
12
L. Ayling
🎯 77'
D
25
G. Edmundson
D
5
A. Jones
🟨 24'
D
2
C. Brittain
↓ 63'
M
18
A. Morris
↓ 72'
M
7
H. Hackney
🟨 87'
M
3
M. Targett
🟨 90'
M
11
M. Whittaker
↓ 62'
F
9
T. Conway
↓ 72' 🟨 50'
F
13
D. Strelec
↓ 72' 🟨 51'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
10
D. Burgzorg
↑ 72'
F
16
A. Browne
↑ 63'
M
19
S. Nypan
↑ 62' 🟨 90+3'
M
20
M. K. Sene
⚽ 77' ↑ 72'
F
22
S. Silvera
F
27
S. Hansen
↑ 72'
F
40
G. McCormick
D
42
A. Kante
M
Last matches: Southampton
16.08.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H: Southampton vs Middlesbrough
12.05.26
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
04.01.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
29.03.24
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
23.09.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Southampton
2
1
L
13.05.17
H2H
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
W
11.12.16
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
21.04.12
H2H
Middlesbrough
Southampton
2
1
L
29.10.11
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
H2H at home: Southampton
12.05.26
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
29.03.24
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
11.12.16
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
29.10.11
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H away: Middlesbrough
12.05.26
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
29.03.24
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
11.12.16
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
29.10.11
H2H
Southampton
Middlesbrough
3
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Home
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Away
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation