Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.99
Derby1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton
WWDLW
25 GF / 12 GA
Derby
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
4.88
Shots on Goal
3.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Southampton
11 matches
Derby
14 matches
| Southampton | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 8 |
| 25 | Goals For | 15 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.63 |
| 16.38 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 5.63 | Corners | 6.38 |
| 58.8% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 2 times, Derby won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from Southampton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 2, draws 4, Derby wins 0
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Southampton
Home
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 |
Derby
Away
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One