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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
NS
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.8
Derby1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
3 GF / 1 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
2 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 1 matches
Derby Derby 1 matches
Southampton Statistic Derby
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 0
3 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 2 times, Derby won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from Southampton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-2-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 2, draws 4, Derby wins 0
Last matches: Southampton
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
H2H: Southampton vs Derby
11.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
16.01.19
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
4
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
18.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
0
W
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
H2H at home: Southampton
11.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
16.01.19
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
4
D
18.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
0
W
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
0
1
L
H2H away: Derby
11.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Derby
2
1
L
16.01.19
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
4
D
18.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Birmingham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2
Blackburn
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3
Bolton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4
Derby Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5
Middlesbrough
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
Portsmouth
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7
West Ham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
Bristol City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9
Burnley
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10
Cardiff
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11
Charlton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12
Norwich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13
Preston
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
QPR
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15
Sheffield Utd
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16
Stoke City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17
Watford
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18
West Brom
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19
Wolves
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20
Millwall
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21
Swansea
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22
Lincoln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23
Wrexham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24
Southampton Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
?
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Relegation - League One