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14.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco vs ADT Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.73 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 70.1%
Draw 19%
ADT Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.36
ADT1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
L L W W L
5 GF / 7 GA
ADT ADT
D D W D L
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
24
BTTS Yes
19
23
Over 2.5
16
4.26
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 40 matches
ADT ADT 34 matches
Cusco Statistic ADT
16 Wins 7
5 Draws 11
19 Losses 16
51 Goals For 37
60 Goals Against 50
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
24 BTTS Yes 19
30 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 9
4.26 Shots On Goal 4.79
12.28 Total Shots 13.97
4.1 Corners 4.48
54.8% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ADT. Cusco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 51 points compared to ADT in 15 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and ADT in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADT having the stronger overall control. Cusco have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Cusco Analysis

With 51 points from 33 games and a place of 5, Cusco still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 16 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 46:47, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Callejo (9 goals), I. Colman (5 goals), J. Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from L. Colitto (5 assists), I. Colman (3 assists), F. Callejo (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

ADT approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 31 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 35:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Bauman (4 goals), Juan David Lucumí Cuero (3 goals), J. Guivin (3 goals), with creative support from C. Cabello (4 assists), J. Rojas (3 assists), J. Narváez (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 5 times, ADT won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Cusco's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cusco wins 5, draws 0, ADT wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 54:24 30 69
D W L W W
2 33 17 10 6 59:39 20 61
D D W W W
3 33 16 9 8 56:38 18 57
W L D W W
4 33 16 7 10 50:35 15 55
D W L W L
5 33 15 6 12 63:48 15 51
D W W L W
6
Cusco Home
33 16 3 14 46:47 -1 51
L L W W L
7 33 15 5 13 54:46 8 50
L L W L W
8 33 15 5 13 48:49 -1 50
W W L W W
9 33 14 7 12 49:48 1 49
L W W L L
10 33 13 9 11 40:52 -12 48
D D L L W
11 33 12 10 11 37:35 2 46
D D W W L
12 33 11 8 14 48:59 -11 41
L L W L W
13 33 8 13 12 44:47 -3 37
D D D W L
14 33 10 7 16 32:41 -9 37
W L L D L
15
ADT Away
33 7 11 15 36:48 -12 32
D D W D L
16 33 8 7 18 46:65 -19 31
W L L L L
17 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
D D L L W
18 33 5 9 19 38:58 -20 19
D L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2